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Rumors and media chatter had been building for weeks, including reports that Jensen Huang sparred with White House conservatives and warned that H200 sales to China might still be blocked. President Trump nevertheless announced that the U.S. Gov. will allow Nvidia to sell H200 chips to China.Nvidia's peers may also sell chips with H200-class specs to Chinese customers. The permission covers H200-class products only.The latest Blackwell architecture and the next-gen Rubin are not on the list. The U.S. Gov. will impose a 25% levy on each sale. As for Nvidia in Q4...

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H200 Greenlight: The Breakout Catalyst on NVDA's Path to $6tn?

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1205 | Dolphin Research Key Focus: 🐬 Stock 1, $BIDU-SW(09888.HK) According to reports, Kunlun Chip (Baidu's AI chip subsidiary) has initiated preparations for listing in Hong Kong, planning to submit the application in the first quarter of 2026 and complete the IPO in early 2027, with the latest valuation of approximately 21 billion RMB. Baidu is the largest shareholder. It has released products such as Kunlun Chip M100 and M300, with tens of thousands of cards deployed, serving as the core foundation of Baidu's AI computing power, and also providing computing power services to external enterprises. The news pushed Baidu's stock price to rise over 8% at one point...

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Baidu Spins Off Kunlunxin for IPO; Ele.me Completes Official Rebranding | Today's Important News Recap

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1126 | Dolphin Research Key Focus: 🐬 Stocks 1. $MEITUAN(03690.HK) Meituan saw a significant rebound today. Alibaba's China E-commerce Business Group CEO, Jiang Fan, pointed out that the first phase of Taobao Flash Sale's scale expansion has ended, and it has now entered the second phase, which is the 'efficiency optimization' phase. This implies that the disorderly cash-burning competition Meituan faces is expected to ease, leading to a more stable market structure, temporarily alleviating Meituan's profitability pressure. Meituan rose over 5% today. 2. $Baidu(BIDU.US) Baidu announced the establishment of a foundational model R&amp;D department and an application model R&amp;D department...

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Meituan's Stock Rallies Strongly; Li Auto Announces AI Glasses Entry | Today's Important News Recap

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以下为海豚君整理的 $Baidu(BIDU.US) 2025 财年第三季度财报电话会议纪要， $BIDU-SW(09888.HK) 财报解读请移步《 百度，猛贴 AI 讲故事，真能救活自己吗？》一、财报核心信息回顾 1. $BIDU-SWR(89888.HK) AI 收入占比已达 40%：三季度，直接与 AI 相关的收入实现近 100 亿，这已达到总营收的 40%...

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Baidu (Minutes): AI native marketing is the future second curve

Financial Analysis

$Baidu(BIDU.US) released its Q3 results after Hong Kong market hours on 18 November 2025. Overall, the performance met expectations. The detailed disclosure of AI revenue demonstrates the company's eagerness to shed its traditional label and fully embrace its new AI narrative. Specifically (focusing solely on Baidu's core operations): 1. AI revenue contribution reaches 40%: During Q3, revenue directly attributable to AI activities amounted to nearly RMB10 billion, constituting 40% of total revenue...

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Can the new Baidu, aspiring to AI, successfully shed its old advertising label?

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Baidu 3Q25 Quick Interpretation: Third-quarter results basically met guidance and market expectations. This earnings report provides detailed disclosure of AI revenue, aiming to shift market focus from weak advertising to new growth point AI. In the previous preview, the company mentioned spin-off financing, increasing shareholder returns, and future dual listing and inclusion plans, which were not mentioned in the earnings report. The conference call can be watched for any incremental information. 1. AI revenue contribution accounts for 40%. Baidu's AI revenue is divided into three categories: AI cloud infrastructure, AI applications, and AI native marketing services. Specifically: (1) AI cloud infrastructure 4.3 billion, year-on-year growth rate of 33%, mainly including API, large models, and GPU leasing, with GPU leasing subscription growth rate of 128%, compared to only 50% last quarter. On one hand, it reflects the acceleration of AI empowerment in the industry. On the other hand, combined with Tencent's earnings report mentioning that some computing power comes from external leasing, it is not ruled out that the leading giants who previously supplied their own computing power also contributed to the demand this quarter. The overall smart cloud revenue announced in the conference call, Dolphin Research estimates a growth rate of about 25% (approximately 6.1 billion), which means that the vast majority of revenue is related to AI demand. (2) AI applications 2.6 billion, year-on-year growth rate of 6%, mainly including Baidu Library, Baidu Netdisk, digital employees, etc. Although it also belongs to AI+, the growth rate is relatively low. Dolphin Research estimates it is mainly due to Baidu Netdisk (promotional discounts this quarter) and other miscellaneous items dragging down. Meanwhile, competition also has an impact, with Quark and WeChat Netdisk recently enhancing functions or services. (3) AI native marketing services 2.8 billion, year-on-year growth rate of 262%, mainly including Agent and digital humans, with digital humans already reaching 500 million in revenue last quarter. Agent is the intelligent entity for merchants, and this part of the revenue has been positioned by the company as the second growth curve of marketing services business. 2. User loss, advertising pressure remains high. Q3 overall marketing revenue declined by 18%, slightly better than guidance. However, excluding the AI part, the implied traditional advertising part declined by 27% year-on-year. The company mainly attributes it to the impact of AI-generated content, with 70% of mobile search results containing AI-generated content in the third quarter. But this level of decline, Dolphin Research believes, still cannot exclude the factor of traffic migration to peer ecosystems, including other in-app searches and AI native applications. In the third quarter, Baidu's mobile app MAU decreased by 27 million users quarter-on-quarter, and the product experience improvement effect after AI integration search weakened, reflecting some signs of migration. 3. Other income highlights are mainly Roborun, with order volume accelerating this quarter as internationalization progresses. Overall non-marketing business growth rate of 21% meets market expectations (BBG expectations lagging behind in the chart below). 4. Profit margin significantly declined: Due to multiple factors, Baidu's core operating profit margin fell to 5% in the third quarter. 1) Changes in business structure: With AI revenue recognition, related costs bring significant increments. Currently, the profit margin level of AI business is obviously not comparable to mature advertising business. In the third quarter, Baidu made a one-time impairment of servers and other basic equipment to be eliminated (about 16 billion), and the cost pressure caused by server depreciation in the short term is expected to be partially alleviated in the future. 2) Increase in marketing expenses: The weakening of profit margin in the third quarter is also related to the increase in marketing promotion, which should mainly be related to AI business, including the expansion of cloud service sales teams and the promotion of AI native applications. 5. Capital expenditure slightly expanded: Baidu's capital expenditure in the third quarter was 3.4 billion, year-on-year growth rate of 106%, which can echo the aforementioned action of eliminating traditional servers. With the old ones eliminated, new server-related expenditures also need to increase. Additionally, considering Baidu also has Kunlun chip business, the expansion of capital expenditure may not be external GPU procurement, but possibly related to the procurement of supporting facilities for Kunlun chip. $Baidu(BIDU.US) $BIDU-SW(09888.HK)

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1118 | Dolphin Research Focus: 🐬 Macro 1. Today, both Hong Kong and A-shares collectively declined as the market's expectation for a December rate cut by the Federal Reserve continued to decrease. According to CME's &#34;FedWatch&#34;, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December has dropped to 42.9%, previously exceeding 70%. Federal Reserve Governor Waller also stated that if the job market rebounds, the necessity for an insurance rate cut will diminish. Additionally, the sell-off pressure on tech stocks and the Japanese bond market faced a sell-off wave due to concerns that the Kishida government will implement a large-scale fiscal expansion plan. Under multiple factors, global markets collectively declined...

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Global Markets Hit by 'Cold Wave'; Google AI Advances in Travel Services Track | Today's Important News Recap

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1113 ｜Dolphin Research Key Focus: 🐬 Macro/Industry 1. Trump signed a temporary federal government funding bill passed by both houses of Congress at the White House, ending the longest federal government shutdown in history that lasted 43 days. In the short term, it can restart federal services, issue back pay to employees, alleviate the impact on people's livelihood such as aviation delays and welfare interruptions, and resume the release of economic data to stabilize market expectations. However, the bill is only a temporary solution and does not address core differences such as healthcare subsidies and the remaining 9 annual appropriations, so there is still a risk of a shutdown after January 30...

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Alibaba's 'Qianwen' plans to revamp to catch up with ChatGPT; Baidu's Kunlun Chip Supernode unveiled | Today's Important News Recap

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1111 ｜Dolphin Research Key Focus: 🐬 Macro/Industry 1. The U.S. Senate has passed a temporary spending bill aimed at ending the longest government shutdown in history, which has lasted for 41 days. The bill now requires approval from the House of Representatives and the President's signature to take effect. This move is a result of bipartisan compromise, providing short-term relief from economic and livelihood impacts, but the core disagreements are merely postponed, with the possibility of another deadlock after January 30th, highlighting the increasing trend of political polarization in the United States. 🐬 Individual Stocks 1. $Baidu(BIDU.US) RoboTaxi has received the first batch of fully unmanned commercial operation licenses issued by the Abu Dhabi Integrated Transport Center...

XPeng surged 17% in a single day; Intel AI Chief jumps ship to OpenAI | Today's Important News Recap