$Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ.US)
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- F
$QQQ As it stands today, we got a failed uptrend. Index closed below an important moving average. Another day or two down, we will have 21ema below 50ma which will invalidated many bull thesis.
Don't blindly catch highly valued AI names and hope for a turn around. Not easy. - J
Case of the Monday's....
$QQQ $GLD - J
$QQQ EMA 8/21 About to Cross Over Negative
MACD Daily Already Crossed Over NegativeWilliams -94 to -99$QQQ Needs to Fill the $701 GAP at a MinimumShould Complete that action by 8/27 IMO which is BAR 21 from the Recent Swing Low.$695 Next Point of Support...NFA - T
$Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ.US)$Invesco Nasdaq 100 ETF(QQQM.US)As we mentioned last week, the market is finally starting to broaden. Even though QQQ looked relatively weak, underlying breadth has improved noticeably, with more sectors participating instead of just the usual AI leaders.
The biggest surprise was the rebound in liquidity-sensitive names. Following Bessent’s Treasury bond-buying move, capital quickly rotated back into higher-beta assets, suggesting investors are becoming more comfortable taking risk again.
That doesn’t mean the index is out of consolidation, but it does show a healthier market beneath the surface. If breadth keeps expanding, this rotation could become more important than QQQ’s headline performance alone.
@Captain's Treasure
Trade Showcase: Trade, Show & Earn Rewards! - G
I expect $Meta Platforms(META.US) to continue to underperform the S&P 500 near-term as the outcome of a $1 trillion trial in Northern CA overhangs the stock. Like tobacco litigation 30 years ago, $Meta Platforms(META.US) is being sued by California and a multi-state coalition of attorneys general who have argued that $Meta Platforms(META.US) designed Facebook and Instagram to be addictive to children and teens, improperly collected their data, and misled the public about the platforms' safety. The trial in federal court in Oakland before U.S. Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers who was appointed by Barack Obama is likely to overhang the stock until the advisory jury renders a verdict in October. The advisory jury is hearing the evidence and issues a verdict; the judge is the ultimate decision-maker on liability, penalties, and remedies. On appeal, the case would go to the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals, which is widely viewed as one of the more liberal circuits in the U.S. federal court system.
In the spring, Meta (along with $Alphabet(GOOGL.US) ‘s YouTube) lost a landmark social media case in California, in which a jury found the companies liable for harming a young user with certain design features in their apps and awarded her $6 million. Then, earlier this month, $Meta Platforms(META.US) was ordered to pay more than $940 million in the state of New Mexico for being a public nuisance and causing psychological harm to children. In the current state AG case in Oakland the plaintiffs are asking for compensatory and punitive damages which could total $1.4 trillion, essentially equal to META’s market cap.While $Meta Platforms(META.US) remains cheap at 15.6x 2026 Adj EPS vs +15% long-term EPS growth, the potential for a trillion dollar initial judgment and an unfavorable appellate process before the liberal Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals could overhang the stock just like tobacco litigation impacted tobacco stocks for years until investors realized the tobacco companies could price future ligation costs into each pack of cigarettes and addicted smokers would pay it. Unlike tobacco stocks there is no pricing mechanism that $Meta Platforms(META.US) can use to offset the risk of litigation. $Meta Platforms(META.US) could settle this case for a few hundred billion dollars and the stock could rise but other litigation will surely follow. - C
Four Trading Days to NVIDIA's Earnings: Why Haven't the Options "Scalpers" Raised Their Prices?
IV at 44% versus HV at 38%, sitting right at the one-year median — options markets are pricing NVIDIA's earnings with surprising calm.
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The markets are poised nicely amidst the selloff due to rates jitter. The broad market index and the QQQ are interestingly at the 38.2 retrace of their fourth wave whereas the SMH looks like a wave 2 at its 38.2. Crypto has just started their engines. Looks like the market might be preparing for a risk on melt up?
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Walmart Crashes 9% as Moderna's Rally UnravelsTwo of the week's biggest stories unwound Thursday: Walmart crashed 9% as US sales growth hit its slowest pace since 2020, and Moderna gave back almost all of Wednesday's record surge, its worst day e...
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$Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ.US) Why did it plunge?
Can a Singapore account and a Hong Kong account be held simultaneously? $NVIDIA(NVDA.US)
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🚨 FED MINUTES AHEAD volatility could hit fast.
$SPX $SPY $QQQ are sitting near major gamma levels. 🎯Watch the walls. Watch the reaction. Don’t chase the move. ⚡Save this map before the Fed minutes. 👇 - F
🚨 FED MINUTES AHEAD GAMMA LEVELS TO WATCH
Markets are sitting right on key 0DTE gamma zones heading into the Fed minutes 👀$SPY: $769🟢 Above $770 → $772–$775🔴 Below $768 → $767–$765$QQQ: $716⚠️ HUGE negative GEX at $717: -$926M🔴 $715: -$600M$SPX: $7715🟢 Major wall: $7750 +$2.38B🟢 Major support zone: $7700 +$1.33BFed minutes could be the catalyst that breaks these gamma levels. Expect volatility around the release. - P
I don't understand anymore...
US STOCKS SNAPSHOT-Wall St opens up after tech-led slump as yields ease; earnings watched
- C
SPCX Options Seller Daily No.003 | Options Going at a Discount: Bulls and Bears Piled Up at $150 on Lock-up Eve
No guessing directions, only commitments — on lock-up eve, SPCX options are somehow selling at a discount. Would you collect this rent?
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- P
Today seems to be a red day for semis and memory.
I will be pleasantly surprised if we end up green - that'll be a huge/positive sentiment shift towards semis.Traditional defensive stocks are all showing some strength, as well as SaaS which I personally class as "defensive tech". That's the < long SaaS, short SaaS > trade. Moreover, if $Apple(AAPL.US) is up in the pre-market, then high beta semis tend to see a negative hit.Yields for 30Y treasury is at the highest point since pre-GFC at 5.32%. Similarly, the 10Y is at 4.74% - also at pre-GFC highs.Seems like it's due to a few reasons: rising oil prices (new highs for Aug) and renewed fears of rate hikes from the Fed. I don't think a hike makes sense right now, but time will tell what happens with Iran. The Fed drops their meeting minutes from the July meeting this week - will be an indication of where rates head.I don't see this as a long-term issue though. Just feels like traders are unlevering positions after a strong few weeks of momentum across semis and memory. Many institutions are now overweight high beta tech and are sitting on (relatively) huge gains MTD. Would make sense for them to unwind some of their positions / rebalance amid an uncertain macro environment.Fundamentally, I wanted to emphasise that the AI trade is stronger than ever after Q2 earnings. Semis and memory stocks get thrashed around from pillar to post when macro is so volatile.Like I mentioned the other day, if names like $Nebius(NBIS.US) or $Sandisk(SNDK.US) can have 10% green days, they can certainly have 10% red days.Overall, I am very bullish long term - just good to be aware of macro overhangs which drive short-term prices.Just need to ride into Jackson Hole next week.$SOXX $SPY $QQQ $SMH - H
📢 𝗝𝗨𝗦𝗧 𝗜𝗡: U.S. Private Employers Added 9,500 Jobs Weekly as Hiring Rebounds, ADP Says - $QQQ $SPY
👉 𝗞𝗲𝘆 𝗛𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗹𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁𝘀:➤ U.S. private employers added an average 𝟵,𝟱𝟬𝟬 jobs weekly.➤ Hiring increased following 𝘀𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗻 consecutive weeks of decline.➤ Four-week average fell from 𝟭𝟲,𝟮𝟱𝟬 jobs on July 4.➤ Hiring averaged 𝟯𝟬,𝟳𝟱𝟬 weekly jobs as recently as June 6.➤ Latest figures remain 𝗽𝗿𝗲𝗹𝗶𝗺𝗶𝗻𝗮𝗿𝘆 and may change with additional data.➤ 𝗡𝗘𝗥 𝗣𝘂𝗹𝘀𝗲 uses a seasonally adjusted four-week moving average.➤ Data carries a 𝘁𝘄𝗼-𝘄𝗲𝗲𝗸 lag for more complete employment estimates.➤ 𝗔𝗗𝗣 𝗥𝗲𝘀𝗲𝗮𝗿𝗰𝗵 produces the report with Stanford Digital Economy Lab.➤ Next 𝗡𝗘𝗥 𝗣𝘂𝗹𝘀𝗲 release is scheduled for 𝗔𝘂𝗴𝘂𝘀𝘁 𝟮𝟱.👉 𝗪𝗵𝘆 𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗠𝗮𝘁𝘁𝗲𝗿𝘀:➤ Hiring's rebound suggests 𝗹𝗮𝗯𝗼𝗿 demand may be stabilizing after recent weakness.➤ Job growth remains well below early-June levels despite the latest improvement.➤ Labor-market momentum can influence expectations for 𝗙𝗲𝗱𝗲𝗿𝗮𝗹 𝗥𝗲𝘀𝗲𝗿𝘃𝗲 policy.➤ Investors may watch upcoming data for confirmation of a sustained rebound. - F
Market momentum is still on our side. That does not mean we buy everything at the open.
My filter for a strong trend day:1. Index is holding its short-term averages2. The stock is already in its own uptrend3. It is near an entry, not 15-20% extended from the breakout or 9ema4. Volume confirms. No weak breakoutsIf it fails that list, I leave it. Most of my money comes from sitting out the junk and pressing the few names that are actually working.I’ll post the ones that clear this during the session. $SPY $QQQ $IWM - T
$Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ.US)$Invesco Nasdaq 100 ETF(QQQM.US)QQQ has entered consolidation after a strong short squeeze last week. Interestingly, VIXEQ suggests that market breadth is actually improving, with participation gradually expanding beyond the previous leaders.
However, the experience across sectors remains very different. Some areas are still attracting strong flows, while others barely respond to the broader rebound. That makes the index look healthier than the average stock actually feels.
For now, I’d view this as a rotation and digestion phase rather than a clear new trend. The key is whether breadth continues to expand and eventually reaches the lagging sectors.
@Captain's Treasure
Trade Showcase: Trade, Show & Earn Rewards! - H
⚡ 𝐔𝐏𝐃𝐀𝐓𝐄: Saudi outlet Alhadath reports sources say the U.S. and Iran have approved a 60-day extension agreement. - $QQQ $SPY $USO
- C
FeaturedNOK Options Seller Daily | Options Are on Discount: the Two Walls Between $12 and $10
Nokia retrenched 1,600 people, yet more money on the options board sits on the upside — and right now those options are priced 12.4 points below how much the stock is actually moving.
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