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No bottom? SK Hynix in Korean stocks dropped 10%! It dragged down Hong Kong, A-shares, and the US markets 😩
$SK HYNIX INC SPON ADS EACH REP 0.1 SHS WI(SKHYV.US)$SK Hynix(SKHY.US)$Seagate Tech(STX.US)$Sandisk(SNDK.US)$Micron Tech(MU.US)$XL2CSOPHYNIX(07709.HK)$Roundhill Memory ETF(DRAM.US)$Western Digital(WDC.US)

Must buy at least one lot to keep as a base position

Featured美股史上最大外企 IPO:SK 海力士本周五挂牌
7 月 10 日,全球 HBM 龙头 SK 海力士将以 ADR 形式(代码:SKHY)正式登陆纳斯达克
$XL2CSOPHYNIX(07709.HK)$SK Hynix - WI(SKHYV.US) The little essay is here -
South Korean local brokerage KIS estimates that SK Hynix's second-quarter operating profit will reach 60.4 trillion won, a 61% increase quarter-on-quarter and a 556% surge year-on-year, but still 8% lower than the market consensus estimate of 65 trillion won. The underperformance is mainly attributed to SK Hynix's higher proportion of HBM revenue compared to its peers, which has led to a lower increase in its average selling price than the market average.
Just now, the South Korean KOSPI index fell by more than 3.8%, and SK Hynix dropped by over 8%. The reason is that the local South Korean brokerage KIS downgraded Hynix's second-quarter performance expectations. Although the data still looks explosive: revenue of 80.9 trillion won, up 264% year-on-year, operating profit of 60.4 trillion, soaring 556% year-on-year, these are phenomenal numbers in any industry. However, the market had generally expected profits to reach 65 trillion, but now it's only 60.4 trillion, a difference of nearly 8%. Therefore, missing expectations led to a sell-off. So why did it fall short of expectations? The blame lies in Hynix selling too much HBM...
South Korea's SK Hynix opened really not up but down today..
SK Hynix (Korea) plunged 7.6% to about $134; SK Hynix (US) night session fell 2.07% to $164, looks like I have a chance to get it at $150😂
Found many newbies asking questions in the comments 😂, let's briefly talk about SK Hynix's ADR here.
The US-listed SK Hynix is like a clone of the Korean-listed SK Hynix. The ADR raised $26.5 billion, accounting for only 2.5% of the Korean stock's trillion-dollar total market cap. Do you expect the 2.5% size of the US stock to move the 97.5% behemoth of the Korean market?
So even if US Hynix goes crazy today, it won't have much impact on the Korean main stock. Assuming market sentiment is bad next Monday, it's possible the Korean stock could fall instead of rise, and foreign capital selling Korea to buy the US is also negative.
Secondly, it has little impact on $Roundhill Memory ETF(DRAM.US) and $XL2CSOPHYNIX(07709.HK). Let alone that Hynix is only one of the top ten holdings of DRAM, it went up but other holdings are falling, and both DRAM and the Hong Kong 2x ETF track the Korean Hynix, not the US ADR.
Furthermore, today is the first day of SK Hynix's US listing, and it surged over ten points due to excited market sentiment. This is actually "sentiment premium," not the real stock price. Starting next week, the US ADR will track the price fluctuations of the Korean Hynix and gradually synchronize (I guess listing on Friday night is also to avoid excessive impact on the Korean stock, leaving the weekend to digest sentiment).
However, since the US ADR only accounts for 2.5% ($25.6 billion) of the Korean Hynix's total market cap, and the conversion from Korean stock to ADR is one-way locked, the ADR share won't increase significantly until at least after 2028. Due to scarcity, high liquidity, and currency loss factors, the US Hynix will maintain a premium long-term.
Referencing TSMC's ADR, the US-listed TSMC has a long-term premium of 10-15% over the Taiwan stock. TSMC is a unique, weak-cycle monopoly enterprise, so its premium being higher than that of the strong-cycle, replaceable Hynix is normal. I think a long-term premium of around 5-10% for US Hynix is reasonable.
Today's Korean Hynix closing price, after a 1-for-10 split converted to USD, is about $146.5. The US stock is currently $173. The extra is all premium, about 18%, making it hard to buy now.
The Korean Hynix's all-time high is $198. I plan to wait for a 35% pullback - minus 10% premium = a 25% pullback, around $150, before buying. Mainly because I've almost missed all the memory market trends in the past half year, missing another one isn't a pity. Even if I chase highs, I want a safety cushion. This is for reference only.
Report complete. If you found it helpful, give it a like, thanks 🤪
$SK Hynix - WI(SKHYV.US)$Micron Tech(MU.US)$SK Hynix(SKHY.US)$Western Digital(WDC.US)$Sandisk(SNDK.US)$Seagate Tech(STX.US)
$SK Hynix(SKHY.US) Why hasn't it switched over?

SK Hynix
USSKHY
This is a shocking statistic:
SK Hynix & Samsung shares/leveraged ETFs make up over 70% of trading volume in South Korea.I think the memory concentration is rational.But over 70% of daily volumes with ~15-20% in leveraged ETFs just reeks of a gambling mindset.I can also guarantee that most of those "investors" don't know what SK Hynix do, and probably think that Samsung are going up cos of phones/TVs.Then there was that WSJ article a few weeks ago that interviewed people who full-ported their life savings into 2x leveraged SK Hynix.All paints a pretty stark picture around the state of Korean investment culture imo.
SK Hynix listed on Nasdaq last Friday, closing up nearly 13% on its first day, with its market cap surging to $1.22 trillion, surpassing Micron. Many friends are asking if it's okay to chase the rally. My view is simple: wait a bit longer, no rush. First, the premium is too high. Last Friday, SK Hynix closed at 2.18 million won in the Korean market, which translates to about $145 for its ADR. But the ADR closing price was $168—a premium of over 15%. The same thing costs 15% more to buy in the US than in Korea. Are you willing to pay that premium? Second, the sentiment on the first day was too hot. It opened at $170 and surged to a high of $177 during the session...
Hey guys! This article is mainly divided into three sections, reviewing the market situation this week -- trading conditions from July to now -- weekend news and expected directions for next week. Let's briefly review this week's market situation: The Fed's hawkish meeting minutes this week and the escalation of Middle East geopolitical conflicts should have dragged down market sentiment for the entire week. Fortunately, mainland policies + southbound capital held the bottom of the Hong Kong stock market, causing the overall market to only fluctuate and not experience a one-sided sharp decline. It's worth noting that: the escalation of Middle East geopolitical conflicts broke the inertia of stock trading for many years. Previously, everyone assumed: geopolitical chaos = buy gold for hedging, but this week the market directly changed tactics! Funds poured into crude oil for hedging...

SK Hynix ADR officially listed, ticker $SK Hynix - WI(SKHYV.US), with a valuation gap of up to 15%.
The corresponding market cap of the Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI) is about $1.03 trillion, while the corresponding market cap of the American Depositary Receipt (ADR) is about $1.19 trillion.
U.S. investors paid a significant premium for this new stock listing on Nasdaq, with the closing price rising 13% to $168.
This state of valuation disconnect is not expected to last long.
SK Group Chairman talks about expanding US investment plan
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"My plan is much larger... far exceeding $35 billion"
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He revealed that the group has committed to invest over $35 billion in U.S. battery and semiconductor projects
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He also said that SK Hynix is exploring a transformation into a "memory service provider"
⠀
In the future, customers may be able to lease memory capacity rather than just buying physical chips

$SK HYNIX INC SPON ADS EACH REP 0.1 SHS WI(SKHYV.US)SK Hynix CEO: Memory Chip Shortage to Persist Until 2030
Recently, Kwak Noh-Jung, CEO of SK Hynix, stated that the current global shortage of memory chips is highly likely to persist beyond 2030.
Hynix will continue to invest in expanding production capacity. For example, the company is building a new chip packaging plant in the United States.
Micron and Samsung Electronics are also rapidly expanding their chip production capacity.
After all, no one wants to lose their profitable market share.$Micron Tech(MU.US)$Direxion Semicon Bull 3X(SOXL.US)$Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US)
$SK Hynix(SKHY.US)SK Hynix CEO reiterates unified stance: 2027 could be the year of the most severe shortage in memory chip history$XL2CSOPHYNIX(07709.HK)$Roundhill Memory ETF(DRAM.US)$Micron Tech(MU.US)


SK Hynix
USSKHY
The key statement that will determine whether Hynix can break free from cyclical stock valuation
1. On the day of listing, the speech by CEO Kwak Noh-Jung was the focus of the entire event.
He stated bluntly: "The global memory chip industry is heading towards the most severe supply shortage in history, with 2027 expected to be the year of tightest industry supply, and the shortage is projected to persist beyond 2030."
He further revealed that core clients, including NVIDIA, Google, and Microsoft, are signing long-term supply contracts of over five years, "because they believe the shortage will last longer, and locking in price and volume is the optimal strategy." This statement effectively shifted the market's short-term focus from "whether AI investment is slowing down" back to the fundamental narrative of "how severe the capacity bottleneck is."
2. If MaaS is successfully launched, Hynix will transform from a cyclical stock to a growth stock
More strategically significant was the speech by SK Group Chairman Choi Tae-won.
He disclosed two important directions:
First, the possibility of further issuing US shares in the future is not ruled out, with the ADR listing being just the first step in a globalized capital layout;
Second, the company is considering launching a new business model called "Memory as a Service" (MaaS).
Under the MaaS model, clients no longer directly purchase memory chips but instead rent storage resources based on usage. SK Hynix, as the service provider, is responsible for hardware deployment, maintenance, and upgrades.
The core logic of this model lies in alleviating the exponential demand pressure on memory capacity from AI training, while shifting the company's revenue model from one-time chip sales to recurring service fees, thereby smoothing out cyclical fluctuations.
If MaaS is successfully implemented, SK Hynix's valuation framework will shift from a hardware manufacturer to a platform service provider, with valuation multiples expected to improve significantly.
Key Operations for Next Week
On Monday, July 13, SKHYV will switch to the regular trading symbol SKHY, marking the first key milestone. The symbol change signifies that trading access will officially open for more retail brokerages, further enhancing liquidity. On the same day, the 2x leveraged long ETF (SKHU) issued by ProShares and the 2x leveraged product (SKHL) from Direxion will also begin trading.
On Tuesday, July 14, the settlement date for the first batch of SKHYV trades will be completed. The actual positions of some short-term profit-taking trades will be cleared and settled during this period, creating a potential window for the release of short-term selling pressure.
On Wednesday, July 15, the FX settlement for the $26.5 billion fundraising will be completed. This massive amount of US dollars will be converted to Korean won and flow back to South Korea. This capital movement will support the Korean won exchange rate and the KOSPI index, but it also means an increase in US dollar liquidity supply in the Korean market.
In late July, the component adjustment window for the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) is about to open. The probability of SK hynix ADR being included in the SOX is extremely high, which will trigger passive allocation by mainstream semiconductor ETFs like SMH and SOXX. UBS estimates that inclusion in the MVIS Semiconductor 25 Index alone will bring about $3.5 billion in passive fund inflows, and cumulative passive funds could reach $15 billion after long-term inclusion in the Nasdaq-100 Index.
On Tuesday, July 29, 17.79 million shares of new Korean stock will officially be listed and become tradable on the Korea Exchange, marking the final key milestone for next week. The new supply will create short-term pressure on the Korean parent stock, and the premium between the ADR and the Korean stock may also narrow as a result.

i think SK is too expensive now, and ADR wont bring SK to another high.$SK Hynix(SKHY.US)

Featured美股史上最大外企 IPO:SK 海力士本周五挂牌
7 月 10 日,全球 HBM 龙头 SK 海力士将以 ADR 形式(代码:SKHY)正式登陆纳斯达克
Is leveraging up this exciting? 🤪 Koreans are awesome 🐂🍺
$SK Hynix(SKHY.US)$XL2CSOPHYNIX(07709.HK)$XL2CSOPSMSN(07747.HK)$Micron Tech(MU.US)$Sandisk(SNDK.US)$Direxion Semicon Bull 3X(SOXL.US)$iShares Semiconductor ETF(SOXX.US)

You don't know until you look, and you're shocked when you do🤪
$Direxion Semicon Bull 3X(SOXL.US) has approached or even surpassed the asset size of $Direxion Semicon Bull 3X(SOXL.US)


SK Hynix's US listing, in my opinion, is most significant not for "fundraising" but for "pricing power." In the AI era, HBM has become one of the most scarce links in the computing power industry chain, and SK Hynix is a core supplier. The US stock market can provide global capital, higher liquidity, and a more international valuation system. The sharp rise on the first day of trading primarily reflects the market's enthusiasm for the AI industry chain and does not mean it will only go up in the future. After all, semiconductors are a highly cyclical industry. If HBM demand continues and AI capital expenditures from companies like NVIDIA remain high, SK Hynix still has a long-term logic. However, if AI investment cools down, the high valuation will also face pressure to retreat. For investors, rather than just focusing on the first day of listing, it's more worthwhile to pay attention to order books, gross margins, and changes in HBM market share in the coming quarters. $SK Hynix - WI(SKHYV.US)$SK Hynix(SKHY.US)

Featured美股史上最大外企 IPO:SK 海力士本周五挂牌
7 月 10 日,全球 HBM 龙头 SK 海力士将以 ADR 形式(代码:SKHY)正式登陆纳斯达克
$SK Hynix - WI(SKHYV.US)$SK Hynix(SKHY.US) Let's review the first day of SK Hynix ADR's listing. The listing of the 'Herculean' stock on the US market seemed calm on the surface, but these points reveal major opportunities for the future storage industry, and even the semiconductor industry.
First, look at the trading data: The issue price for SKHYV was set at $149 per share, which is at the lower-middle end of the pricing range of $147 to $155. The issuer clearly left room for an opening day rise.
It opened at $170, a 14.1% premium to the issue price, directly jumping over the upper limit of the indicative price range.
After opening, buy orders continued to pour in. The intraday high reached $177, representing a gain of up to 18.8% over the issue price. However, the high point could not be sustained, and the price gradually retreated, hitting a low of $166.19, with an intraday volatility of 6.5%. It finally closed at $168.01, a first-day gain of 12.8%, down about 1.2 percentage points from the opening.
The trading volume reached 106 million shares. Based on the total of 177.9 million ADS, the first-day turnover rate was as high as 59.5%.
This number indicates a relatively active level for a new stock's first day of trading, suggesting that a large number of institutions that won allotments chose to cash in profits on the first day. The after-hours trading price rebounded to $172.14, up 2.5% from the close, showing incremental buying interest at the tail end of the session.
Next article will discuss key operations for next week:
