Bio-Techne

This week looks event-driven, with US CPI and PPI likely to set the tone for rates and equities. Softer inflation could support risk assets and tech, while hotter prints may revive Fed concerns and pressure valuations. Oil and Hormuz tensions remain another key wildcard, keeping inflation and volatility risks elevated.

$Microsoft(MSFT.US)Microsoft has nearly recovered its entire year-long decline in less than a week after earnings, which highlights just how extreme market sentiment has become. When investors lose confidence, stocks can be punished aggressively, but once a strong catalyst appears, the rebound can be equally violent.

The reaction also shows how much the market is focused on proof rather than promises. Before the earnings report, concerns around AI spending, capex intensity, and uncertain monetization weighed heavily on sentiment. After Azure growth and AI demand provided reassurance, capital quickly rushed back in.

This kind of price action suggests the market is becoming less forgiving during uncertainty, but also more aggressive when confidence returns. For mega-cap tech, one strong earnings report can completely change the narrative.

@Captain's Treasure

The fickleness of the US Iran diplomacy is the only constant. The oil price and US market flip at every turn of event, causing a lot of volatility. It's amazing we've been able to avoid rate hikes so far and indices are still making record highs. Nonetheless, SGX is still my safe haven for its steadiness.

Historically, August could be a volatile month with some of the heaviest losses occurring in the eight month of the calendar year in the past. However, we actually have strong rebounds to kick off the month, led by the traditional tech companies, with Citadel citing the bullish run for stock market is far from over.

The major indices are going strong and markets that usually support a bull market like the financials are strong as well. Coupled with apprehension and doubt, I am not quite sure the top is in yet. Maybe close but the markets look like its about to take off again.

Well that was a nice reversal for the major US indices as they started on the low trapping the bears and gained strength as the day progresses. Result: Nice daily green candles all round. Volume is low though. Will we get a follow through day? Day 4-7 after a rally off the lows is when that usually happens. Go bulls go!

I am rather surprised that US and Japan joined hand to intervene YEN. My read: American is under threaten by Japanese. If US don’t buy YEN, BOJ will dump its massive $1.14T+ Treasury pile which would have sent yields rocketing and hurt stocks far more.

Am I correct? Trump and Takashi in the same boat now. Both depends on each other 🤣.No more “Pearl harbour “ story 🤭

great earnings that prove that AI is having positive economic impact has brought the market back up, plus the hope for the strait being under US control leading to a higher chance the conflict can be resolved is what has driven this move up. we are still in a headline sensitive environment so we should still be aware and manage our risk properly, nothing can continue going up forever but we must stay invested to be part of the gains

War on Iran. The two countries are always confused by many people. US says negotiations are on the way, Iran is desperate to seal the deal, but Iran say not true.