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As the first interest rate cut by the U.S. dollar entering the post-pandemic era of rate cuts, this rate cut can be described as both &#34;big&#34; and &#34;hawkish.&#34;The &#34;big&#34; lies in the fact that the first rate cut directly slashed 50 basis points, which was indeed unexpected compared to market expectations; the &#34;hawkish&#34; aspect was conveyed during the conference call and the dot plot, indicating that this 50-basis-point cut should not be linearly extrapolated, and future decisions will still be data-driven. This 50-basis-point cut was merely to demonstrate the Federal Reserve's determination to protect the economy.An interesting point was when several reporters repeatedly asked Powell whether this was a &#34;catch-up&#34; rate cut. Powell emphasized that, given the relatively good data on inflation and consumption, the large rate cut was more focused on being a forward-looking move. However, he also admitted that if the July employment data had been known earlier, a rate cut might indeed have been implemented at the previous meeting on July 31.From Dolphin Research's perspective, this illustrates two points:a. Among the various economic data, the current unemployment rate and new employment figures are the real core data, as subsequent CPI and PPI reports did not raise any red flags for the Federal Reserve.b. The dot plot released by the Federal Reserve to some extent only reflects the Fed's wishes and guides the market to trade on these wishes, but it does not mean this path will necessarily materialize.From the revisions in this economic forecast, it can be seen that among the root variables of the economy, the most significantly revised was the unemployment rate. The 大幅下修的政策利率预期 is merely a result of this root variable.Therefore, in the coming period, a key tracking point for the expected rate cut 幅度 will be the labor market: What is the labor participation rate? How much has labor supply increased? How much has job demand decreased? How much has the unemployment rate increased, and is it within the &#34;controllable&#34; range below 4.5%?Especially given the 惯性下修 in 每次新增非农就业， it’s prudent to build in some 保险 upfront. Based on the downward adjustments over the past few months, some decline should already be factored in. At least, this is how Powell indicated the Federal Reserve would approach the data.Furthermore, Dolphin Research is not overly concerned about this hawkish rate cut path guidance. The key still lies in the employment data, particularly if the weakening is primarily due to an oversupply from increased immigrant inflows rather than a decline in corporate job demand. In that case, the economy may not be as weak as feared.

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NVIDIA GTC to Take Place in Taipei from June 1-4

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US OvernightThe S&P 500 fell 0.67% to 7,353.61, the Nasdaq dropped 0.84% to 25,870.71, and the Dow shed 322.24 points (-0.65%) to 49,363.88 — the S&P's third straight losing session. The 30-year Treasury yield briefly topped 5.19%, its highest level in nearly 19 years, while the 10-year hit 4.687%, the highest since January 2025. The bond selloff was the dominant force: rising long-end yields are repricing risk assets across the board, and no sector was spared.

- The S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow experienced declines amid a bond selloff and rising Treasury yields, with the S&P facing its third straight losing session.  
- Key earnings reports and investor sentiment surrounding Nvidia's upcoming results are critical, especially in light of increasing long-end yields impacting growth stocks.  
- Expectations are high for Nvidia to deliver robust earnings, as a disappointing report could exacerbate market losses, particularly in the tech sector.

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SG Morning Brief | Yields Hit 19-Year Highs, S&P Posts Third Straight Loss on Nvidia Eve

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US stock index futures fell, led by weakness in semiconductor shares, raising concerns over inflation and corporate earnings. Dow futures dropped 65 points, with technology stocks under pressure. Oil prices eased but remained high amid Middle East tensions. Treasury yields pulled back after a recent rise. Investors are awaiting Nvidia's earnings and the Federal Reserve's minutes for insights on economic conditions.

- US stock index futures declined due to weakness in semiconductor shares and concerns over inflation, elevated bond yields, and corporate earnings outlook.  
- The S&P 500 futures fell 0.23%, while Nasdaq 100 contracts decreased by 0.46%, reflecting pressure on technology stocks.  
- Market sentiment remains fragile ahead of upcoming earnings reports from Nvidia and Walmart, along with the Federal Reserve's minutes, amid ongoing geopolitical tensions.

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Dow futures slip 65 points: 5 things to know before markets open

Corning's Q1 2026 results highlight the growing importance of optical connectivity in AI infrastructure, with strong demand for optical fiber and a partnership with Nvidia. The company's stock has surged over 270% in the past year, reflecting its critical role in the AI ecosystem. Despite its high valuation, the bullish long-term outlook suggests that pullbacks may present selective buying opportunities.

- Corning Incorporated's Q1 2026 results highlight the growing significance of optical connectivity in the AI infrastructure alongside compute power.  
- The company has established strong partnerships, including with Nvidia, indicating its vital role in the AI ecosystem and the increasing demand for optical fiber.  
- While Corning's stock has risen over 270% recently, its high valuation prompts cautious investment, viewing any pullbacks as potential buying opportunities.

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Who Knew Glass Was So Important to AI? Corning's (GLW) Q1 Report Made It Clear

DELL

At Dell Technologies World, NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang highlighted a surge in AI demand, stating it is 'going parabolic.' With 5,000 enterprises utilizing Dell AI Factories powered by NVIDIA, the global AI infrastructure spending could reach $3-4 trillion by 2030. New products like the Dell PowerEdge XE9812, built on NVIDIA Vera Rubin NVL72, promise significant cost and performance improvements for AI workloads. Dell and NVIDIA's collaboration aims to enhance enterprise AI capabilities, moving beyond pilot projects to large-scale deployments.

- Dell Technologies is revolutionizing AI infrastructure with the introduction of NVIDIA Vera Rubin NVL72, offering significantly lower costs and faster processing for enterprise AI workloads.  
- The Dell AI Factory, now supporting advanced computing systems such as PowerEdge XE9812, enables enterprises to deploy agentic AI efficiently while maintaining data security and performance.  
- Key companies like Lilly, Samsung, and Honeywell showcase the impact of this technology in various sectors, underscoring the shift towards scalable, on-premises AI solutions.

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NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang at Dell Technologies World: “Demand Is Going Parabolic, Utterly Parabolic”

Government ethics disclosures reveal Eric Trump made 3,642 stock transactions worth up to $750 million in early 2026, with some trades in Nvidia and Eli Lilly occurring just before favorable administration actions, raising conflict-of-interest concerns. Despite Eric Trump's denial that family members direct trades, lawmakers point to signed disclosures that contradict his statements.

- Government ethics disclosures indicate that Trump made 3,642 stock transactions valued up to $750 million in early 2026, with many involving specific companies.  
- Some trades, particularly in Nvidia and Eli Lilly, happened shortly before government actions that benefited those companies, raising conflict-of-interest concerns.  
- Despite Eric Trump's claims that family members do not direct trades, signed disclosures reveal individual stock purchases that contradict these assertions.

Eric Trump denial challenged by filings showing timed stock buys

Major U.S. indexes opened mixed as the 10-year Treasury yield remained above 4.57%. Oil prices eased amid reports of a potential Iranian sanctions waiver. Elevated yields and high energy costs are raising inflation concerns, impacting valuations. Upcoming earnings from Nvidia and Walmart may influence market direction, testing investor confidence in AI growth and consumer resilience.

- Major U.S. indexes opened mixed as the 10-year Treasury yield remained above 4.57% and oil prices declined amid potential Iranian sanctions waivers.  
- Elevated yields and high energy costs are contributing to persistent inflation fears, leading investors to remain cautious about the ongoing Iran conflict.  
- This week, earnings reports from Nvidia and Walmart will be crucial in influencing market direction, reflecting investor sentiment towards AI growth and consumer resilience.

Wall Street wavers as yields stay high ahead of key earnings

US stocks showed mixed results as easing yields countered inflation fears from rising oil prices. Brent crude oil fell nearly 2% amid reports of potential U.S. waivers for Iranian oil sales, alleviating supply concerns. Growth sectors, particularly tech, saw gains with semiconductor stocks rebounding ahead of Nvidia's earnings report.

- Equities experienced fluctuations as easing yields countered ongoing inflation concerns from rising oil prices.  
- Brent crude oil prices declined nearly 2% due to reports of potential U.S. permission for some Iranian oil sales, alleviating supply worries.  
- Growth-heavy sectors, particularly technology, saw gains as lower yields supported a recovery in semiconductor stocks ahead of Nvidia's earnings report.

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US stocks mixed as yields ease, oil falls on Iran waiver talk

CRWV

DA Davidson has downgraded CoreWeave’s rating to Neutral, despite an average price target of $141.61, suggesting a 31.97% potential upside. Institutional ownership is increasing, with Nvidia raising its stake by nearly 49%, and a bullish sentiment is indicated by the put/call ratio. The market is focusing on AI infrastructure, large banks, and small-cap value stocks amid tightening credit conditions and shifts in corporate capex.

- DA Davidson has downgraded CoreWeave’s rating to Neutral, despite an average price target of $141.61, indicating a potential upside of 31.97%.  
- Institutional ownership has increased, with Nvidia raising its stake by nearly 49%, reflecting bullish investor sentiment as indicated by the put/call ratio.  
- The market is focusing on AI infrastructure, large banks, and small-cap value stocks amid tightening credit conditions and shifts in corporate capital expenditures.

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CoreWeave downgraded by DA Davidson despite bullish upside forecast

Investor Steve Eisman expresses concern over the sustainability of Nvidia's rally, noting its size compared to the S&P 500 healthcare sector. He highlights a shift in the S&P 500's composition, with defensive sectors declining. Eisman is cautious about rising wholesale inflation and its impact on equity markets, particularly as the 10-year yield approaches 4.5%. Despite his concerns, retail traders remain optimistic, heavily buying calls on major tech stocks, while Polymarket traders see low chances of a downturn.

- Investor Steve Eisman is reducing his portfolio as he perceives a bubbly rally, noting Nvidia's market cap surpasses the entire S&P 500 healthcare sector.  
- He highlighted a significant sector rotation, with defensive sectors shrinking to 19% of the S&P 500, while semiconductors increased to over 18%.  
- Eisman expressed concerns about rising inflation and its impact on equity markets, while retail traders remain optimistic, heavily buying calls on leading tech stocks despite potential downturn risks.

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'Big Short' Legend Eisman Is 'Nervous About The Sustainability' Of Nvidia's Melt-Up

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