TSLA240809C230000.US

A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY.

Here's a full recap:

1. Nvidia $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) added roughly $453B in market cap in a single day, the largest one-day market-cap gain ever recorded in the U.S., as Wall Street rushed to reset targets after Q2 earnings. Raymond James raised its price target to $515 from $352 and reiterated Strong Buy, citing Nvidia’s FY28 outlook for approximately 70% revenue growth and saying $1T in annual sales by FY29 now looks possible. The firm highlighted architectural evolutions like NVL racks at 1:1 and agentic Vera CPU racks as growth accelerators, while also expecting non-hyperscale revenue to outgrow hyperscaler revenue. Other target hikes included JPMorgan to $320 from $280, Mizuho to $315 from $300, Melius to $425 from $400, Goldman Sachs to $300 from $285, Bernstein to $400 from $315, Citi to $315 from $300, and Stifel to $315 from $282.

2. Marvell $Marvell Tech(MRVL.US) reported Q2’27 revenue of $2.7B, roughly in line with estimates of $2.71B and up 37% YoY. Adjusted EPS came in at $0.94 versus $0.92 expected, up 40% YoY, while Data Center revenue reached $2.2B, up 46% YoY. Marvell guided Q3 revenue to $3.15B +/- 5%, ahead of the $3.03B estimate, and adjusted EPS to $1.10 +/- $0.05 versus $1.07 expected. The bigger update was the long-term outlook: management now expects FY27 revenue to grow roughly 45% YoY to about $12B, with Data Center up around 60%, and FY28 revenue to reach roughly $18B, up about 50% YoY, with Data Center growing more than 60% and custom chip revenue more than doubling. Marvell also said revenue tied to the Google warrant agreement through FY28 is already included in its prior custom revenue target, while AI-related bookings remain “exceptionally robust.”

3. Wolfe Research named Google $Alphabet(GOOGL.US) a top pick for 2027, reiterated an Outperform rating, and set a $460 price target while raising estimates. The firm now sees $595B of revenue, up 10% versus its prior estimate, and EPS of $15.89, up 6% versus prior. Wolfe estimates Google could generate more than $105B in TPU revenue next year at roughly 30% margins, producing about $32B of TPU operating income. The firm also sees cumulative TPU-related revenue reaching $300B through FY28, Google’s power capacity scaling to 21 GW next year and 28 GW in 2028, and GCP eventually contributing up to 40% of Alphabet’s total operating income.

4. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) with 7.4M contracts, $Tesla(TSLA.US) with 1.6M contracts, $Apple(AAPL.US) with 875K contracts, $Strategy(MSTR.US) with 840K contracts, $Micron Tech(MU.US) with 751K contracts, $SpaceX(SPCX.US) with 743K contracts, $Palantir Tech(PLTR.US) with 740K contracts, $Amazon(AMZN.US) with 668K contracts, $Intel(INTC.US) with 660K contracts, and $PG & E(PCG.US) with 633K contracts.

5. The White House is weighing a new round of semiconductor tariffs that could extend beyond chips to products like servers, laptops, and gaming consoles, according to Politico. One proposal would link tariff-free import allowances to how much companies commit to U.S. chip manufacturing, while a phase-in period is also under discussion. No final tariff rate or framework has been set. Tech companies are warning that broader duties could raise AI data center costs and pressure chip designers like Nvidia $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) and AMD $AMD(AMD.US), which still rely heavily on overseas manufacturing.

6. BofA initiated coverage on Amkor $Amkor Tech(AMKR.US) with a Buy rating and $70 price target, calling it an underappreciated beneficiary of rising semiconductor packaging complexity, AI/HPC advanced packaging demand, improving utilization, and U.S. supply-chain regionalization. Advanced Products made up 82% of Q2’26 revenue, with BofA seeing opportunities across 2.5D, HDFO-RDL, HDFO-bridge, co-packaged optics, and test. The firm expects computing to become Amkor’s largest end market by 2028, supported by programs including Nvidia’s Vera CPU, Microsoft’s Cobalt CPU, and AMD’s Venice server CPU. BofA also highlighted the planned Arizona facility, with Phase 1 expected to be fully committed, Apple and Nvidia identified as key customers, a 10-year TSMC agreement, and an expected $1.5B Nvidia prepayment in 2027. The firm forecasts EPS rising from $1.51 in 2025 to $3.41 in 2028, a 31% CAGR, and bases its $70 target on 21x 2028E EPS.

7. Meta $Meta Platforms(META.US) could spend up to $10B a year on Anthropic AI, according to NYT. Meta has reportedly become one of Anthropic’s largest customers and is still spending hundreds of millions of dollars per month on its tools. The company has used Anthropic models to help power and test its upcoming personal AI agent, Hatch, even as it builds competing products internally. Meanwhile, employees are increasingly shifting to Meta’s Muse Code, while its new frontier model, Watermelon, has reportedly been delayed until at least October.

8. IREN $IREN(IREN.US) reported Q4 FY26 revenue of $137.2M, roughly in line with estimates, while adjusted EBITDA came in at $19.2M versus $41.1M expected. AI Cloud revenue rose to $70.5M in Q4 from $33.6M, while FY26 AI Cloud revenue reached $128.8M, up roughly 8x YoY. Full-year revenue was $707.0M, below the $740M estimate, and net loss was $702.6M, including $638.8M of impairments tied largely to decommissioning Bitcoin mining hardware as sites are converted for AI Cloud growth. The bigger story is the AI infrastructure pipeline: IREN says operating ARR is $1B today, contracted ARR for 2026 capacity is $4B, 2026 capacity is largely sold out, and capacity delivery is expected to reach 0.3 GW in 2026 and 0.8 GW in 2027. The company also secured $2.8B of new GPU financing, has $14B of cash and committed financing, and says recent 3-year contract pricing has increased 125%, with active discussions around $25M of revenue per IT MW.

9. Hedge funds bought the most global energy stocks in nearly 4 years last week, marking their 12th weekly purchase over the last 13 weeks. As a result, hedge funds are now the most overweight energy relative to global stocks since June 2024. That is a sharp reversal from February 2026, when they were the most underweight energy since 2021. The only period with materially higher energy exposure relative to global equities was during the 2022 energy bull market.

10. U.S. corporate profits surged 22.8% YoY in Q2 2026 to a record $4.8T, the largest annual increase since Q4 2021. Excluding the pandemic recovery and the post-2008 Financial Crisis rebound, this was the strongest YoY profit growth in 21 years. Since Q2 2020, corporate profits have climbed $2.7T, or 131%. As a percentage of GDP, corporate profits jumped 1.0 percentage point in Q2 to 14.9%, an all-time high.

11. Citadel Securities posted a record Q2, with trading revenue reaching $7.3B, more than 3x YoY, and net income rising more than 250% YoY to $3.3B. The firm now handles more than one-third of U.S. retail stock trades, with high-touch equities helping drive the quarter’s results. Citadel Securities was also profitable in July and expects to remain profitable in August.

12. Trump praised Micron $Micron Tech(MU.US) after the company announced a $10B investment in new U.S. research labs focused on AI and advanced computing. He said the new investment comes on top of Micron’s previous $250B U.S. commitment and will help create tens of thousands of American jobs. Trump framed the announcement as part of a broader push to bring critical technologies back to the U.S., saying companies are investing trillions under his administration because America is the best place to build, invent, and grow.

WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

Source: amit

A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY.

Here's a full recap:

1. Nvidia $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) reported Q2’27 revenue of $96.2B, beating estimates of $92.2B and up 106% YoY. Adjusted EPS came in at $2.22 versus $2.10 expected, up 120% YoY. Data Center revenue reached $89.0B, above the $85.8B estimate and up 117% YoY, while adjusted gross margin was 75.0%, in line with expectations and up 250 bps YoY. Nvidia guided Q3 revenue to $108.0B +/- 2%, ahead of the $104.2B estimate, with adjusted gross margin expected at 74.0% +/- 50 bps. The company generated $64.0B of adjusted operating income, $54.0B of adjusted net income, and $21.3B of free cash flow, while returning roughly $26.0B to shareholders in Q2 with about $99.0B remaining on its authorization. Nvidia said its outlook assumes no Data Center compute revenue from China, while Vera Rubin is ramping into full production with racks running at partners.

2. US GDP came in at 1.5% QoQ, matching estimates. PCE rose 0.2% MoM versus 0.1% expected and 3.7% YoY versus 3.6% expected, while Core PCE was in line at 0.2% MoM and 3.3% YoY. Consumer spending increased 0.2% MoM, above the 0.1% estimate, and personal income rose 0.4% MoM, ahead of the 0.2% estimate. Real personal consumption was flat at 0.0% MoM, matching expectations.

3. Meta $Meta Platforms(META.US) agreed to an $18B youth safety commitment as part of its settlement with U.S. states, including $17B tied to broader settlement terms and $2.2B payable to California. Under the deal, Meta will spend the money over 10 years on youth online safety initiatives and implement new protections for users under 18, including limiting social media use to 2 hours per day and blocking access from 12 a.m. to 6 a.m. Compliance will be monitored by an independent auditor for 5 years. Meta will accrue about $10B in legal expenses in Q3 2026, but says its July financial guidance remains unchanged. The company also said $5.3B of the settlement is tied to YouTube and TikTok implementing similar daily limits, night mode, and age assurance measures.

4. The Bank of Korea raised rates by 25 bps to 3.00%, marking its second straight hike and the first back-to-back rate increases since the COVID era. The central bank also raised its 2026 GDP growth forecast to 3.3% from 2.6%, signaling stronger confidence in the economy even as it tightens policy.

5. Nvidia $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) has agreed to acquire Hugging Face for $12.9B, according to The Information. Strategically, this would give Nvidia a much deeper foothold in the open-source AI ecosystem, where Hugging Face has become one of the main distribution layers for models, datasets, and developer workflows. The likely goal is not just owning another AI asset, but controlling more of the software layer around AI adoption: GPUs, networking, CUDA, inference infrastructure, and now a major platform where developers actually build, share, and deploy models. For Nvidia, this makes the ecosystem stickier and strengthens its position as AI shifts from training frontier models to deploying millions of inference workloads across enterprises.

6. U.S. new home sales fell 10.5% MoM in July to 607,000 units, the lowest level in 6 months and far worse than the 1.4% decline expected. Excluding January 2026, this was the weakest reading since November 2022. New home sales have now declined in 3 of the last 4 months and are down 6.3% YoY. The Midwest saw the sharpest drop, with sales plunging 42.7% MoM to 43,000, the lowest level since 2012. Sales in the South, the largest homebuying region at more than 60% of total sales, fell 13.0% to 383,000, the second-lowest level since January. The weakness comes as the 30-year mortgage rate hit 6.81%, its highest since August 2025, continuing to pressure homebuyer demand.

7. An IRGC spokesperson said the Strait of Hormuz will not reopen unless the U.S. accepts Iran’s conditions. Those conditions reportedly include foreign warships staying at least 400 km away and no vessel transiting the Strait without Iran’s permission. The IRGC also said Iran and Oman have agreed to share revenue from shipping through the Strait, adding another layer of geopolitical and energy-market risk around one of the world’s most important chokepoints.

8. CrowdStrike $CrowdStrike(CRWD.US) reported Q2’27 revenue of $1.47B, beating estimates of $1.44B and up 26% YoY. Adjusted EPS came in at $0.31 versus $0.29 expected, up 35% YoY, while free cash flow reached $377.4M, above the $353M estimate and up 33% YoY. Net new ARR hit a record $333M, up 51% YoY, bringing total ARR to $5.84B, up 25% YoY. CrowdStrike raised FY27 guidance to $5.99B–$6.01B in revenue, $1.25–$1.26 in adjusted EPS, and $6.60B–$6.61B in ARR. Management called Q2 the best quarter in company history, citing record Falcon Flex results, record net new ARR, stronger retention, and a Mythos-driven tailwind as AI adoption increasingly needs security at scale. $CrowdStrike(CRWD.US) was up 10% after hours.

9. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $Tesla(TSLA.US) with 2.7M contracts, $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) with 2.5M contracts, $Meta Platforms(META.US) with 1.7M contracts, $Apple(AAPL.US) with 1.4M contracts, $Intel(INTC.US) with 742K contracts, $Amazon(AMZN.US) with 695K contracts, $SpaceX(SPCX.US) with 603K contracts, $Micron Tech(MU.US) with 595K contracts, $Microsoft(MSFT.US) with 579K contracts, and $AMD(AMD.US) with 404K contracts.

10. $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) Nvidia's CFO today said revenue is expected to grow approximately 70% in FY28, even with a supply-constrained outlook. The company said Vera CPU is now in full production, shipments are already underway to lead partners, and CPU revenue is expected to more than double in FY28 against roughly $20B of total server CPU demand. Nvidia also said it began production shipments of Vera Rubin earlier this month, while neocloud partners are expected to exit the year with 8 GW of installed capacity, up from roughly 3 GW at the end of 2025. The CFO said cloud industry backlog now exceeds $2T, with capex from the top five hyperscalers expected to reach nearly $800B in 2026 and $1.3T in 2027. Nvidia also addressed “circular financing,” saying it has invested nearly $50B in frontier AI labs and expects AI lab demand supported by its balance sheet to contribute roughly 25% of the business next year.

11. Google $Alphabet(GOOGL.US) has reportedly hired Barret Zoph, co-founder and former CTO of Thinking Machines Lab, as VP of Research, according to WSJ. Zoph will work on Gemini, bringing expertise in reinforcement learning and post-training. Separately, SoftBank is reportedly in talks to acquire a majority stake in OpenAI-backed humanoid robot maker 1X at roughly a $6B valuation. 1X previously tried to raise $1B at a $10B valuation but raised less than half that target, while OpenAI also discussed acquiring the company last year before talks fell apart. 1X says it received more than 10,000 pre-orders for its $20,000 NEO humanoid in the first week, with deliveries planned for 2026, though none have been delivered yet.

12. AWS $Amazon(AMZN.US) and Nvidia $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) announced a major expansion of their strategic AI infrastructure partnership, building on 16 years of joint innovation. As part of the expanded collaboration, AWS will deploy 2 million additional Nvidia GPUs across its global infrastructure in 2027–2028. The companies said they are deepening their work across AI factories, CPUs, networking, open models, data processing, and robotics, giving customers more ways to build and deploy AI at scale.

WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

Source: amit