Pro Ultr Cvix Shrt Futures

US stocks shrugged off a crash in Brazil Monday, as $EWZ fell 19.8% for its worst day since March 2020

Source: StockMarket.News

$Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ.US)$Invesco Nasdaq 100 ETF(QQQM.US)QQQ had a rough week. The shooting star rejection near the lower boundary of the channel suggests that sellers are stepping in on rallies, as investors grow increasingly skeptical about the sustainability of AI earnings growth.

Meanwhile, oil prices continue to push toward new highs, and the VIX is surging, adding another layer of uncertainty to an already fragile market.

The combination is getting harder to ignore: stretched expectations around AI profitability, rising energy costs, and increasing volatility. Even if the long-term AI story remains intact, the market may be entering a much less forgiving phase.

Risk is clearly building, and the next move could be decisive. I’ll be watching whether QQQ can reclaim key technical levels or whether selling pressure continues to intensify.

@Captain's Treasure

$Cboe Volatility Index(.VIX.US)

On Friday, Oct 16, 2026, the VIX —Wall Street’s "fear gauge"—surged nearly 30% to hit an intraday high of 22.31.

It was so surreal as I just so happened to be looking at it's chart when it suddenly spiked right Infront of my eyes!

This sudden jump above the key 20 threshold marked its highest level in 4 months, signaling a sharp shift from calm markets to heightened anxiety among traders.

What Caused the Sudden Fear Spike?

* Fund Liquidation Rumors: The primary trigger for the afternoon panic was market chatter regarding a major hedge fund facing severe distress and forced liquidations, raising fears of systemic selling.

* Tech & AI Infrastructure Selloff: Technology stocks took the brunt of the downturn, with the Nasdaq dropping ~2%. Concerns over high leverage, debt costs, and heavy capital spending hit AI infrastructure names hard, dragging down major semiconductor and tech leaders.

* Oil at $100 & Sticky Inflation: WTI crude oil surged past $100 per barrel amid geopolitical tensions, while a hotter-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) print pushed 10-year Treasury yields above 5%, reigniting fears of prolonged elevated interest rates.

* Options Hedging Squeeze: As stock indices broke key technical support, big institutional investors rushed to buy protective put options. Options market makers hedging these trades were forced to sell index futures, creating a rapid feedback loop that drove volatility even higher.

Key Takeaways for Retail Investors

* Avoid Panic Selling: Spikes above 20 often reflect short-term institutional panic and mechanical option hedging rather than structural economic collapse.

* Expect Near-Term Choppiness: With mega-cap tech earnings approaching and macro yields elevated, short-term market volatility is likely to remain elevated. Stay focused on long-term portfolio fundamentals.

$Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ.US)

QQQ closed Friday at 751.27, and I’m staying cautiously bullish heading into the week. The trend remains healthy, but I’d rather keep some cash available than chase at current levels.

Wednesday’s Core CPI will be the main catalyst. I’m watching 771 for a potential breakout and 727 as key support. A pullback could offer a better entry opportunity.

VIX remains low around 14.84, while Longbridge’s US Market Temperature sits at 47, suggesting sentiment is still somewhat cautious despite the calm market.

For now, I’m staying selective and letting price action guide my next move. I still see upside potential, but patience and keeping buying power available remain my priorities.

HDB Resale Prices Slip for a Third Straight Quarter While Private Homes Rise 1.4%

Sat 3 Oct 2026 | Morning

The Numbers

On Friday the Dow closed at 51,176.96 (+0.49%), the S&P 500 at 7,722.72 (+0.73%) and the Nasdaq at 27,190.86 (+1.19%). The Associated Press attributes the rally to the monthly jobs report showing US employers slowed hiring, which led traders to pare bets on a Fed rate hike and initially sent Treasury yields lower. The VIX fell 6.02% to 16.39. Brent rose 0.38% to US$102.70 on Trading Economics' continuous series, and BT reports the G7 will release 100 million barrels of diesel and other reserves. USD/SGD is 1.2795. US and Singapore markets are closed this weekend.

The STI closed Friday at 5,634.82 (-0.6%) on S$2.3 billion of turnover, with decliners ahead of gainers 335 to 223. DFI Retail fell 8.8% to US$3.10. DBS was down 0.2% at S$77.21, UOB down 0.5% at S$43.11 and OCBC up 0.4% at S$31.66.

Flash estimates for Q3 show URA's private residential index up 1.4% from the previous quarter, with landed homes up 2.8%. HDB's Resale Price Index fell 0.2% to 202.4, its third quarterly decline in a row, while resale volume rose 5.2% on the year to 7,528 flats.

My Personal Take

Yesterday I wrote that US yields were at their highest in over two decades and that Singapore's 2.49% agreed in direction. This morning AP says the jobs report sent yields lower at first, and I do not have the close, so I cannot say whether that high held. A Monday SGS print would show whether Singapore follows the US move down, though one day is a single data point. What I almost missed in the property numbers is that two segments moved in opposite directions in the same quarter, and flash estimates cannot tell me why. The final release is what I want to read before saying more. 🦖

Not financial advice. Iggy's Forensic Compliance Standards apply.

Nooo VIX is at 16 already with so much uncertainty😔. It’s time to accumulate great stocks at lower prices 🎉🎉 ride through the volatility