$SPY $SPX
Missed the Iran Peace Deal gap up?So what.Trading isn't about catching every move.It's about finding Asymmetric opportunities and managing risk.Current thesis:📍 SPY: ~$753 SPOT PRICE🎯 Measured Move: $775 by July 31Why?✅ FOMC behind us after June 17✅ No FOMC until July 28✅ July earnings expectations ramp higherInstead of going "all in," think in Units.1 Unit = maximum risk.Scale in to 1 Total Unit !• 0.25R initial entry• 0.25R on confirmation• 0.25R on momentum• 0.25R on trend continuationIf the thesis fails?📉 Lose 1R.If the thesis works?📈 Capture 2–4R.The goal isn't to predict every move.The goal is to consistently find trades where the reward justifies the risk.🎯 Think in Units.🎯 Hunt Asymmetry.🎯 Let expectancy do the heavy lifting.Think in Units. Not Dollars.📉 Small Losses📈 Large Winners🎯 Positive Expectancy#SPY #OptionsTrading #RiskManagement #Trading #Investing
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