Thursday, April 16, Today's Market

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Today's Market Core View

After experiencing a V-shaped reversal, the market has regained strength. The previous approximately 10% decline has been fully recovered, and new highs have been reached. The overall trend has returned to a bullish structure, market breadth is expanding, and there is still room for further upside.

What is the market trading on?

1 At the macro level, it still fluctuates around liquidity expectations and the interest rate cut path.
2 Market risk sentiment has recovered, and funds are flowing back into equity assets.
3 Technology and growth stocks continue to dominate the main trend.

Conclusion: Funds are re-entering risk assets, the trend continues, but the pace is starting to accelerate.

II. Market Structure View

Currently in a strong consolidation phase within the uptrend.

After completing the V-shaped reversal, the index has entered a secondary upward structure, but short-term it is in a high-level consolidation and confirmation phase.

III. Key Levels

Resistance: 7057, Extreme 7067
Support: 6979, Extreme 6963
Defensive Level: 6950

Trading Principles

If support holds, the trend continues, focus on buying on dips.
If the defensive level is broken, the short-term structure weakens, entering an adjustment phase.

IV. Risk Warning

1 After consecutive gains at high levels, there is short-term profit-taking pressure.
2 The process of filling the gap may bring intraday volatility.
3 A rapid pullback may occur if the 7000 point breakthrough fails.

One-sentence risk summary:
Currently in a high-level consolidation phase within a strong uptrend; volatility is increasing but the trend is not broken.

V. Trading Strategy

Long direction: Mainly buy on dips, continue with the bullish mindset.
Operation method: Do not chase highs, wait for pullbacks to confirm support before entering.
Position control: Participate with medium positions, avoid full-position chasing.

One-sentence strategy:
The trend is still there, but you must trade with rhythm, not chase emotions.

VI. Stocks to Watch Today

 MSFT

 TSM

 TSAL

 PLTR

 MU
 

VII. Final Summary

The trend has been re-established, but the real money-making stage is not the accelerated rise, but the confirmation opportunities after the pullback.
The stronger the market, the more you need to wait for the right position, not chase speed.

Disclaimer
The above content is for personal opinion sharing only and does not constitute any investment advice. 

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