TSLA241115C350000.US

$Tesla(TSLA.US)

I am cautiously bullish on Tesla heading into earnings. The company delivered 480,126 vehicles during Q2 and deployed a record 13.5 GWh of energy-storage products, giving it stronger operating momentum entering the report.

My thesis is that higher vehicle volumes and the rapidly expanding energy business can support revenue growth and improve factory utilisation. However, deliveries alone are not enough. I will be watching automotive gross margin, free cash flow and whether spending on robotaxi and AI initiatives is producing measurable progress.

Weak margins or excessive cash burn would invalidate the near-term bull case.

@Captain's Watch

Talk about a deluge of earnings to kick off tech earnings. Earnings for Tesla and Alphabet will be eagerly waited for. But before that, I am excited for GEV who will report before market opens.

qqq back near highs going into the busiest earnings week of the year. tesla and google tonight, msft and meta next week. this is the bellwether so how it holds after these prints tells you a lot about the tape. staying long but with tight stops

This looks like a relief rally, not a new bull. Memory is notoriously cyclical and +12% days happen right before oversupply. We’re betting on earnings to justify massive capex, with crypto headlines and Nvidia PR stapled on for vibes. If TSLA/GOOGL disappoint on AI ROI, we give it all back fast.

AI and semiconductor stocks have staged an impressive rebound, but waiting for earnings to confirm that the recovery is backed by fundamentals. Tonight's Tesla and Alphabet results could set the tone for the market's next move. Forward guidance and AI demand will matter more than the headline numbers. If management remains confident about AI-driven growth, accumulating quality companies on healthy pullbacks may offer a better opportunity than chasing the current rally

semis look to be recovering after a much needed and will continue to rise as long as AI spending signals from TSLA and GOOGL support the story. NVDA’s production momentum will help to seal the deal and drive these stocks upward

Memory ripping +12-14% and chip index up 5% tells you the market thinks the AI spending cycle is working. Micron and SanDisk back over $1T, Nvidia shipping Vera Rubin, and UBS calling a bottom — that’s supply tightening + demand accelerating. If TSLA and GOOGL show cash flow tonight, this risk-on rotation has legs.

It is difficult to tell if this recovery in chip stocks is a dead cat bounce. My gut feeling says no as the AI infrasture demand is real but the market is moved by smart money and what we can do is size our positions according to our risk appetite and set stop losses.

memory stocks still got room to up as previous week drop.

just try buy on dip or hold it if already brought.

$Tesla(TSLA.US)Tesla (TSLA) is reporting its Q2 2026 earnings. While Q2 vehicle deliveries surged 25% year-over-year to 480,126 units and energy storage hit a record 13.5 GWh, investors are closely watching a projected negative free cash flow of $3.3 billion due to heavy spending on AI, Optimus, and Robotaxi initiatives.

Highlights & Market Context

Earnings Expectations: Analysts expect $26.21 billion in revenue and an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.50.

I am leaning towards $Tesla(TSLA.US)being the lowest gainer for the following reasons:

(1) Margin Compression Risks: Wall Street remains focused on auto gross margins and cash flow. Although Q2 reported delivery beat, market need to see the quality of the beat - how margins improve.

(2) Valuation Ceiling: With long-term Robotaxi and AI catalysts already heavily baked into Elon's narrative, this means near-term fundamental beats are challenging.

$Intel(INTC.US)$Tesla(TSLA.US)$Alphabet(GOOGL.US)

The Bull 🐂 , The Bear 🐻 , The Winner 🏆 & The Loser – TSLA / GOOGL / INTC

📍 Biggest Winner: GOOGL

Google stands out for one simple reason: its P/E ratio finally makes sense to me. While other AI plays trade at sky-high premiums, GOOGL’s forward P/E stays very reasonable 26.59.

Furthermore, I see rising Cloud margins and AI boosting Search ad revenues as a high growth cash cow.

In my view , the market is just starting to catch on to this AI leader trading at a discount. Hence, I see more upside than downside.

🎲 Biggest Loser: TSLA

Tesla looks set to lag because its P/E is 372 and P/B ratio at 17x . The current share price is priced for total perfection and totally over stretched. No room for any mishaps.

With this massive premium to traditional automakers and its EV competitors, I see more downside than upside.

Traders will give an excuse to dump the shares with any dissatisfaction with its financial results. For example, a small sign of falling margins could send its P/E sliding sharply lower.

For further information, BYD has PE ratio of 26 times and P/B ratio at 3.12 times .

Therefore, Tesla needs flawless progress on robotaxis and news of new technology breakthrough for its new EV models just to support its stretched valuation.

🔷 INTC ( Neutral- not interesting😆 at all )

Intel is currently trading at P/B 4.63x, share price $102.79.

It has a deep-value turnaround story but it lacks the near-term catalysts to outperform the other two this earnings season. Hence, I do not see any material movement in its share price.

Cross my fingers and pray for my predictions 😆.

$SpaceX(SPCX.US)is it because SpaceX announced preparations for Starship’s 13th flight test on Thursday and cause the stock price goes up? But so glad to see p/l of 142%c hahaha.. is because these are mainly from the free share I got from buying Tesla stock. Think the flight test will really direct this stock continue to bull or reverse back to bear run.

biggest winner: Tesla

biggest loser: Google

Tesla

📍 Biggest Winner: TSLA

🎲 Biggest Loser: INTC

📢 𝗝𝗨𝗦𝗧 𝗜𝗡: $Tesla(TSLA.US) Tesla Expands Robotaxi Service to Orlando and Tampa

tsla reports tomorrow after close, deliveries guided around 480k which is +25% yoy. but the whole thing rides on margins and the autonomy commentary, not the delivery number. still down 17% ytd so the bar is low. holding into the print