$META We need to watch close, it is below the 200D SMA now and maybe starting wave 4 pull back to the 9 EMA of $653.

Keep Stops Tight or Trim If Needed

NFA Source: Jim

$HIMS Options Collar

As a Trader, you want to ride the Trend in the long term direction but with 140%+ Implied Volatility, that can literally be a 180 on the flip of a dime. 

Going into Earnings, I let my Calls Run since they were already explosive, but I realized the team needed to deliver on earnings. 
They did not. 

The flip side is riding puts for a week or two, as IV bleeds out and a new trend is formed. 

That's the Long/Short Collar. 

Obviously, I want the stock to go Long and Short Squeeze, but that doesn't always go your way. 

Either way, if trading, through a very High Volatility Window, carry a hedge.

$VIX Waking Up, But VIX Expiration is tomorrow.

We have $12T In CEO Companies in China this week.

Can they create a sense of calm and peace talks with IRAN to settle down OIL/Yields and Trade?? 

$NVDA $GOOG $AAPL haven't really had a run yet, IMO. 

They are pushing higher but $NVDA $250+, $GOOG $400 $AAPL $300

If that happens we're headed higher into July. 

War Headlines ect in tow but if those 3 big Dawgs hold Court that's huge. 

What other large Cap you like to grow still?Source: Jim

Open to Debate Fam!!

$SPY $QQQ 

MAY 2026 CATALYST MATRIX 🔥

The setup is constructive.

My updated read: ~60% Bullish Base Case for May.

Why?
The bullish side: 

✅ U.S.-Iran conflict winding down = lower oil / lower vol risk
✅ Q1 earnings season remains strong
✅ AI capex + data-center demand still driving leadership
✅ NVDA earnings on May 20 could be the index ignition point
✅ Buybacks + M&A flow support risk-on sentiment

But the bear traps are real:
⚠️ CPI on May 12
⚠️ PPI on May 13
⚠️ FOMC minutes on May 20
⚠️ PCE inflation on May 28
⚠️ Trump-Xi Summit headline risk

This is not a “blind bull” setup.
This is a conditional bull setup.
The upside unlock is simple:

Inflation calms...
Oil stays contained.
AI earnings deliver.
The Fed does not sound overly hawkish.
Geopolitics do not shock the tape.

If that combo hits, May can absolutely turn into a risk-on melt-up window.

But if CPI/PPI/PCE come in hot, yields rise, or the Fed pushes back on cuts, the market can flip fast.

My view:
Earnings + AI = Bullish engine
Inflation + Fed + Oil = Risk wall

May 2025 gave the SPX a +6% type move.

May 2026 has the ingredients.

Now the tape has to prove it.
TL;DR:

Constructive for equities, but fragile. Bullish if inflation cools and AI earnings deliver. Bearish if yields, oil, or Fed pressure spike.

$IBIT = $BTC

2027 2028 Leap to the 200D SMA IMO 
VOLUME SHELF + $BTC RAMP INTO THE NEXT HALVING CYCLE. Source: Jim

Relaxing watching boiler room. 
A classic...

Anyway btc and Japan yo! Source: Jim

$SPY @GROK DEX FRIDAY MAY 1st, After FOMC and MAG 4 Earnings that week. A Cluster at $695 is showing up. Analyze this.... Source: Jim

$SPY I am NOT Bearish LONG TERM.
NOT YET.....

Weekly BULL Trend IN TACT for NOW.

BUT...... BOND VIGILANTES NEED TO EAT ALSO.
THIS IS MECHANICAL AND YOU CANT LEAVE THEM OUT ALL THE TIME.

Look at MAY of 2025.
AFTER OUR 4/7 RECOVERY - WE STALLED WHEN THE 10 YEAR RATE PEAKED - AND SLOWED DOWN EQUITIES.

BUT THE UPTREND CONTINUED.

So AS LONG AS OIL CHILLS ($107) OUT SOMEWHAT AND RATES EVENTUALLY COOL WE COULD PULL BACK SOME, BUT GRIND HIGHER ON GOOD EARNINGS INTO JUNE/JULY.

BUYBACKS AND COOLING RATES HOPEFULLY COMING IN A WEEK OR TWO.

$META WEEKLY @grok break this down, along with earnings dates, EPS projections, trading gain window and street price targets. Weekly 3 White Soldiers, Reclaimed the 50D SMA, EMA 9/21 Tredning towards a positive FLIP. Along with your summary, also create a visual graphic. Source: Jim

1. Buy America Equities 📊
2. OUTRIGHT SELL Japan,  EU, UK.

@grok analyze this, then create a summary and a visual graphic detailing everything. Source: Jim

$GOOG 

Using the 7-day IV fwith GOOG at $335.23, the estimated implied earnings move into 4/29 AH is about:

±$22.14, or about ±6.6%.

That gives an expected range of roughly:

Upside: $357.37
Downside: $313.09

Formula used:
 Stock Price × IV × √(Days / 365)
With your data:

Price = $335.23

7-day IV ≈ 47.7%

Time = 7 days

$GOOG earnings implied move for 4/29 AH: 
about ±$22.14 (±6.6%)

With GOOG at $335.23, options are pricing a post-earnings range of roughly $313 to $357.

$350 Previous ATH

NFASource: Jim

$SPY PUT HOLDERS — Why some Red days don’t pay the way you expect. (VEGA)

Today was a textbook example:

$SPY closed yesterday near 715/716 and traded down near 711 today.

Normally traders assume puts should rip.

But the missing ingredient was $VIX / implied volatility.

$VIX actually compressed lower while $SPY fell.

That means:

🔻 Delta helped puts (price down)
🔻 Gamma helped near strike moves
🔻 Theta kept decaying premium
🔻 Vega got hit as volatility fell

Result:

Price was red… but fear was not.

When $VIX drops during a $SPY selloff, puts often gain less than expected because volatility premium is being removed.

Best put environment:

✅ SPY down
✅ VIX up
✅ Gamma accelerating near strikes

Weak put environment:

⚠️ SPY down
⚠️ VIX down
⚠️ Vega offsets gains

Tape message today:

“Market lower, but not panicked lower.”

Learn this and you’ll understand why some perfect-looking put trades underperform.

#SPY #SPX #VIX #OptionsTrading #Greeks #Volatility #Gamma #Vega

@market_sleuth @itsmichaelluu @SuperLuckeee @blondebroker1 @AndrewHiesinger @QuantData @astocks92