Sharing My Recurring Investment Journey

$VG S&P 500(VOO.US)

VOO is heading into the week on a stronger footing, with the rebound likely helped by an unwinding of oversold positions following last week’s tech selloff. Still, I’m not entirely convinced the worst is over. Nvidia’s latest slide following the controversy surrounding Jensen Huang is another reminder of how quickly sentiment can turn, particularly when the AI trade is already under scrutiny. While the weakness appears relatively stock-specific for now, I’ll be watching whether the broader market can sustain its recovery. Staying invested, but keeping some caution.

$VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH.US)

Not saying this is the bottom for tech but I don’t think this is the top either. Tops don’t feel this way. Narratives and scepticism against it while it continues performing fundamentally feels more like a bottom than a top. Tops are punctuated with euphoria while earnings deteriorate. Instead we are seeing doubts as earnings continue impressing.

Sentiments are also down in the basement. Everyone looks at you funny when you say ‘Tech!’. Again tops don’t behave this way.

So I believe Tech is bottoming especially when no one wants to buy here while they were wishing for these prices just a few months before.

@Captain's Treasure

$VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH.US)

Nothing much has changed on my view with SMH. However, let me touch on my TA opinions here.

I believe SMH is in the last leg of its pull back which looks like a wave 4 to me. This is either a WXY complex pullback or wave 3 of the C wave.

If SMH recovers strongly above 490 on elevated volume, that shifts the probability towards a bullish reversal.

@Captain's Treasure

📌🇺🇸Last session being 1st rotating to hyper scalers such as AAPL and MSFT, GOOG and AMZN rallied, but the rest dipping like no body business, last quarter is the most brutal sharp dropping and not roller coaster swing per se, have to monitor to watch next rotation to which companies; I almost tempted to DCA NVDA and PLTR and so many others the prices are superbly low comparing either this entire year, next as Investors, we still have to get to the ground: When and What prices to DCA cos we have to salvage the last few months bloodbath🩸🩸 about 2 months including NOV will be 3 months!!!