Big_Angel

NVDA the first to recover when this risk-off passes, calling it. it always leads the bounce 🏹

Low-key the 20 robotaxis in Austin is giving me small-scale pilot vibes, but 2,961 orders making TSLA the most-traded shows retail is buying the hype. The real test is whether they can scale beyond 20 cars without major incidents 🤔

The Gemini-in-Android integration is one of the most important platform decisions of 2026. Google has effectively merged its AI capability with the operating system layer — bypassing the "AI app" friction. From a strategy lens: this is how platform companies extend moats. Apple is working on similar with iOS 27 Siri Camera. The PM lesson: if your AI product requires user download, you're competing with built-in OS capability. Existential question for AI-only app startups

$Alibaba(BABA.US)  still trading at discount vs global peers despite strong cash flow and ongoing buybacks. Key question is whether AI investment translates into real monetization or just capex burn. If AI cloud scales, long-term upside maybe underestimated 🤔

MU at a $1 Trillion Valuation: Supercycle or Cycle Top?

every "AI chip is bulletproof" guy very quiet today 💀

ARM Holdings: The AI Era's Best Toll Booth, and Why Today's 16% Move Makes SenseARM gained 16% today. Most people are talking about it as an extension of the NVDA trade. That framing is too narrow. What ARM Actually IsARM licenses its CPU instruction set architecture to semiconductor companies. Every chip designed using ARM's architecture, regardless of who manufactures it, pays ARM a royalty. The royalty is typically a small percentage of the chip's sale price, but the economics compound in a way that very few businesses can match. Think about the roster of companies paying ARM royalties right now: Apple for every M-series chip in every Mac and iPad. Qualcomm for every Snapdragon processor. NVIDIA for the 20-core ARM CPU at the heart of the new RTX Spark N1X laptop chip, announced at COMPUTEX this week. Samsung, MediaTek, Broadcom. Every major semiconductor company building chips for AI devices, smartphones, and data centres. ARM does not build a single fab. It does not manufacture anything. It simply owns the architecture and collects a royalty on every device that runs it. That business model has a name: toll booth. And the AI era is widening the toll booth dramatically. Why Today's Move Is RationalNVIDIA's RTX Spark confirmation at COMPUTEX is the direct catalyst. When NVIDIA chose ARM CPU cores for its first laptop chip, it told the entire industry: the PC era is going ARM. Every RTX Spark laptop shipped is an ARM royalty event. Every Vera Rubin data centre chip running ARM-based Grace CPU cores is an ARM royalty event. ARM's royalty income compounds with semiconductor volume. AI compute is driving semiconductor volume at the fastest pace in a generation. The math is straightforward. What I'm Thinking About the PositionI hold ARM and I have for a while. Today's 16% move is satisfying, but it also changes the position sizing calculus. The royalty model is one of the most durable in technology, but at elevated multiples, the margin of safety narrows. What I am watching: the pace at which ARM-based designs penetrate data centre CPUs, where x86 (Intel and AMD) still dominate. If ARM's data centre share grows as fast as it has in mobile, the royalty income profile looks structurally different than the current multiple implies. That is the long thesis. I am not selling.

remember when everyone said Facebook was finished and TikTok ate it alive. now it's launching an AI subscription and trading up 4%. cope is a powerful thing 😤

added MSFT on the tech rebound. boring megacap that keeps printing, my portfolio's ballast 🛋️

$Circle(CRCL.US) Maybe a big bank will acquire them once regulations are clear. That's my exit thesis

$Alibaba(BABA.US)  Qwen currently holds a position in China somewhat similar to Claude's in the US—both excel primarily at coding but still fall short as chatbots.

between Copilot, Azure and OpenAI exposure, MSFT is basically a diversified AI bet in one ticker. still my largest holding