MSFT270115C450000.US

$AMD(AMD.US)

POST for 31/8/26

1️⃣ After my initial purchase on early July, AMD benefited from a series of AI related catalysts. THe company announced major partnership with Microsoft, Anthropic and Cerebra’s in July, strengthening the investment narrative around its instinct AI accelerators and EPYC data Center processors. Investors optimism over AMD’s AI positioning helped support strong stock performance during the following weeks.

2️⃣ Adding on early August appears justified by AMD’s strong Q2 2026 earnings released on 4/8/26. Revenue grew 50% YOY to a record USD11.5B, while data Centers revenue more than doubled. MAnagement also guided for continued acceleration in the second half of 2026, driven by AI demand and Helios system deployments.

3️⃣ My base case outlook for the next two months is modestly bullish. AMD should continue benefitting from AI infra spending, large customer deployments, and strong data center growth. However, expectations are already high, so volatility around guidance and competitive developments remains likely. I would expect AMD to trade with an upward bias, provided AI demand and execution remain on track.

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“Memory is a bubble.” Explain this then, KOSPI bears:

Context

Microsoft $Microsoft(MSFT.US) has successfully solidified its position as an infrastructure powerhouse, with its stock trading near $481.63 following a powerful momentum wave fueled by its latest corporate financial disclosures. In its most recent quarterly metrics, the tech giant reported exceptional strength, driven heavily by an accelerating cloud business where Azure and related cloud solutions surged 40% year-on-year. Though its aggressive commitment to building out artificial intelligence framework pushed massive quarterly capital expenditures up to $31.9 billion, institutional fears around margin compression have eased. This relief stems directly from corporate guidance confirming that robust commercial cash generations are effectively pacing this spending, keeping the enterprise safely on track for positive free cash flow milestones going forward.

My trade

Given the strong underlying corporate execution, I am Bullish on Microsoft and am implementing a long-focused equity scaling framework. The trade involves establishing a core long position at the current market value of $481.63, with localized stop-loss configurations placed safely below the critical technical support floor near the $440 level. My strategic upside target sits at an expected near-term terminal value of $550, tracking Wall Street’s consensus distribution model. To maximize risk efficiency while mitigating the premium cost associated with a high stock price, I will supplement this direct exposure by initiating an out-of-the-money bull call vertical spread, purchasing front-month contracts to capture additional near-term upside while keeping capital risk strictly capped.

Takeaway

Microsoft successfully translates heavy AI infrastructure investments into high-margin revenue through its dominant cloud pricing power. Strong commercial demand coupled with clear technical breakouts makes any structural pullbacks an ideal accumulation window for long-term investors.

$Microsoft(MSFT.US)

⬆️ next week continues …

Taiwan prosecutors raided a plant owned by ABF substrate giant Unimicron on Friday over the alleged import of substrates and printed circuit boards (PCBs) made at its China plants and then re-labelling them ‘Made in Taiwan’, media report. Some employees are suspected of crimes including document forgery and product origin fraud. The head of Unimicron’s PCB division was released Saturday on bail of NT$15 million (US$475,000). Several other managers were also released for lower amounts. $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) $Alphabet(GOOGL.US) $Amazon(AMZN.US) $Microsoft(MSFT.US) $Meta Platforms(META.US)

Source: Dan Nystedt

$IREN(IREN.US)

Context: Iren recorded $137.2 million in revenue for the fourth fiscal quarter. Among this, AI cloud service revenue rose from $33.6 million in the previous quarter to $70.5 million, accounting for about 51.4% of total quarterly revenue and surpassing the Bitcoin mining business ($66.7 million) for the first time. While AI cloud revenue grew, asset impairments posed a significant drag on current-period earnings. On a GAAP basis, IREN's fourth-quarter net loss widened to $684 million from $247.8 million in the prior quarter, far exceeding the analyst estimate of $204.3 million. The loss was mainly driven by two non-cash items: an impairment on mining equipment assets of approximately $450.4 million and a decrease in the fair value of mining equipment held for sale of about $102.1 million, totaling $552.5 million and accounting for roughly 81% of the quarterly net loss.

My Trade: Patiently waiting for low $30s before considering to average down. The stock did drop to lowest $28 in the past month so there's the dip opportunity there.

Takeaway: Quite ironic that the decrease in fair value of mining equipment and impairment of mining equipment were the main drivers of the loss for the 4th quarter as Bitcoin is now back on the rise again. Despite this short term pressure and turnover, Iren has secured good deals with mega cap companies like Nvidia and Microsoft, so I still believe in the long term trajectory. @Captain's Treasure

$Microsoft(MSFT.US)

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Thoughts on $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) later today:

$Microsoft(MSFT.US)🚀 Microsoft: A Major AI Powerhouse

Microsoft is positioning itself as one of the strongest companies in the AI race.

🤖 Why it stands out:

• Massive investment in AI

• Azure Cloud continues to grow

• Copilot across its products

• Strong partnership with OpenAI

• Diversified business and strong cash flow

AI could become a major growth driver for Microsoft over the next several years.

📈 My view: Strong long-term AI potential, but valuation and competition remain key risks.

#Microsoft #MSFT #AI #Stocks #Investing #Technology

🚀 Google: Still a Strong AI Play?

Google is becoming one of the biggest players in AI, with Gemini, AI-powered Search, cloud computing, and its own AI chips.

💡 Why I’m bullish:

• Strong AI ecosystem

• Huge Search & advertising business

• Growing Google Cloud

• Heavy investment in AI infrastructure

• Strong financial position

The biggest risk is competition from Microsoft, OpenAI, Meta and other AI companies.

📈 My view: Google has strong long-term AI potential, but investors should still expect volatility.

#Google #GOOGL #Alphabet #AI #Stocks #Investing$Alphabet(GOOGL.US)

$Microsoft(MSFT.US)

1️⃣ The stock experienced normal market fluctuations rather than a decisive breakout after my recent purchase. It never gave a strong reason to celebrate nor a compelling reason to exit. IT remained a long term technology and AI growth holding, allowing me to observe how MSFT’s business momentum, cloud leadership, and AI investments continued to develop. I was an active Microsoft user since few decades ago till now. Every step of the way I know.

2️⃣ I chose patience. I did not sell because my original investment thesis had not materially changed. Holding steady allowed me to avoid emotional decisions and preserve flexibility for future opportunities.

3️⃣ In about two months, I will likely focus on whether Microsoft’s AI monetization, cloud growth, and market sentiment continue strengthening. If confidence improves, I may consider increasing exposure. I conditions remain mixed, I may simply continue holding, letting the business performance — not short term price movements guide my next decision.⛳️

$Microsoft(MSFT.US)is spending an enormous amount on AI data centres and infrastructure. Its FY2026 capital expenditure and finance leases reached roughly US$175 billion, with around US$116 billion of that being property and equipment spending. The concern of most investor is how quickly will all this AI spending generate enough additional profit and free cash flow?

This became particularly visible on 17 August, when MSFT fell about 3.0% to US$480.35, wiping around US$112 billion from its market value. Investors were reassessing the returns on Microsoft's massive AI infrastructure investments.

Investors are increasingly concerned about the amount of capital being poured into AI infrastructure. The market is beginning to question whether AI revenue will grow quickly enough to justify the industry's enormous capex commitments.

So when sentiment toward AI stocks weakens, Microsoft can be affected even when its own quarterly results remain strong.

On 30 July, Microsoft shares jumped more than 15% in one day after its earnings and Azure outlook, adding almost US$450 billion to its market value—the largest one-day market-cap gain ever recorded by a company.

After such a dramatic rally, investors naturally become more sensitive to any concerns about valuation, margins or AI spending.

In short, market isn't asking "Is Microsoft growing?" anymore. It's asking "Is Microsoft making enough money from AI to justify how much it is spending on AI?"That is the key reason MSFT has been volatile in August 2026.

$Microsoft(MSFT.US)

Context: MSFT has gained about 29% since February, recovering strongly from around US$352 and recently reaching above US$500. The move reflects renewed confidence in its AI and cloud businesses.

My trade: I bought during the earlier weakness and have held through the recovery. I’m not looking to chase the recent surge but I’m also not rushing to take profits.

Takeaway: MSFT is another one of my wide-moat holdings so I’m comfortable holding it longer term. The big question is whether its huge AI capex spending will generate enough revenue and cash flow to justify the investment. Azure is growing strongly but the payoff needs to keep catching up with the spending.