NVIDIA

$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)

Context:

I bought NVDA because I wanted exposure to the AI growth story, but the more I follow the company, the more I see it as something bigger than just a chipmaker. What interests me is how NVIDIA is building an entire ecosystem around AI, including computing, networking and software.

My Trade:

I’m still holding my position. What I’m watching now is whether this ecosystem continues to translate into real demand from customers. I’m also curious to see how NVIDIA keeps its position as AI infrastructure becomes more competitive.

Takeaway:

My biggest takeaway from holding NVDA is that I shouldn’t look at it only as a stock that benefits from AI. I want to understand how the company is building its role in the AI infrastructure itself.

I’m curious what other NVDA holders think. Do you see NVIDIA mainly as a chip company, or as an AI infrastructure company?

another forecast

Talks about slowing down AI is nothing new. It is indeed warranted that development has to be done in a responsible way. but this isn't something that will actually slow anyone down. a lot od noise, pullback is good for entry.

The rate of progress in AI has been unprecedented and unmatched. The fear is that we can lose control of the technology and create something that can be a danger to us. This may sound like a familiar plotline from one of the movies that Hollywood churned out in the past but I think it is a very valid concern. Our laws are also having to play catch up.

The leather jacket returns to Washington, D.C. 👀

Source: NVIDIA_X

With the emergence of a second war in the middle east, analysts are forecasting 2 rate hikes this year instead of the original 1. A high 90% probability of rate hike in a few days' time would probably see FED raising interest rate for the first time since 2023. Though I would not be surprised if Trump's pressure on FED leads to them holding off for yet another period of time before the inevitable will happen.

I think today's trading session would be the calm before the storm, with most stocks already in "the sea of red" yesterday. FED'S rate decision on Thurs early morning would be crucial: though I believe most stock prices have already started pricing in rate hike, of it does happen, brace yourself for more impact.

Many factors that tell the narrative that if the market will hike rates and triple witching then markets most likely drop more. However, will the general market be a drop then rebound next week or more selling gets more selling pressure due to it being in negative gamma flip line? Don't rush, don't predict. Chill and sit out if the market is too rushed for you(myself) included.

Wednesday, tomorrow night, is the Federal Reserve going to hike the interest rate ? Is the US market also expected the rate hike ?