$Tesla(TSLA.US) bought at the open. Also picked up $Rocket Lab(RKLB.US). The current level feels comfortable. Aiming to hold long-term.
What's on your mind?
$Tesla(TSLA.US) bought at the open. Also picked up $Rocket Lab(RKLB.US). The current level feels comfortable. Aiming to hold long-term.
U.S. equities were flat pre-market ahead of $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) earnings, July PCE data, and Fed Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech. Oil fell further on Iran-Oman Hormuz re-opening talks; treasury yields edged higher while BTC rose. Chip stocks mixed; $Meta Platforms(META.US) gained on state AG settlement talks, TSLA slightly lower after a Cybertruck price hike. S&P 2026 EPS estimates continue to climb (+31% y/y to $346) on AI investment, bringing the forward E/P in line with the 10-year treasury yield (vs normal equity premium +50-100bp). I remain cautious on $Tesla(TSLA.US) due to declining forward earnings estimates, commoditization of unsupervised autonomy, and extreme valuation.
U.S. equities rose pre-market ahead of NVDA earnings, July PCE data, and Fed Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech amid inflation concerns and stubbornly high long-dated Treasury yields. Brent crude fell, while BTC gained; gold and silver declined. Chip stocks rebounded on AI optimism in front of the $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) print; $Meta Platforms(META.US) and $Tesla(TSLA.US) both advanced. TSLA raised Cybertruck prices. S&P 2026 EPS estimates continued to climb on AI and energy strength, pushing P/E to 21.0x and a forward earnings yield of 4.7%, matching the 10-year yield for the first time since early 2024. I remain cautious on $Tesla(TSLA.US) due to declining 2027-30 earnings estimates, the commoditization of unsupervised autonomous driving technology, and an extreme valuation (6x PEG, highest by far among Mag 8 stocks).
Updating safety and preventive of accident mobile transport are always better if it saves lives in an emergency. The other good comfort or convenience functions are good to have.
Tesla's slickest move these past two years has been blurring the line between selling a car and selling a business, and leaving you to guess which one is actually on the table.September 3, Austin — th...
The September 3 Cybercab event isn’t just about hardware- the hardware was already unveiled. What actually matters for $Tesla(TSLA.US) is the capabilities of FSD vs v15, its scaling timeline, and whether Tesla can transform its end-to-end autonomy stack into a commercial robotaxi network. While Waymo relies on LiDar and HD maps, Tesla is betting pure vision and massive parameters can solve complex edge cases. September 3 will reveal if scalable vision- only autonomy is finally ready.
Tesla's slickest move these past two years has been blurring the line between selling a car and selling a business, and leaving you to guess which one is actually on the table.September 3, Austin — th...
A buddy asked me to do a post on how to analyze a specific asset.
Here's a quick overview: Buffett, Munger, and Aswath Damodaran have all explained the methodology clearly.
1. Buying stocks is buying the company and its future cash flows.
2. Key areas to evaluate: business model (sustainability of profitability), moat, team culture (long-term viability), and the CEO (integrity and problem-solving skills).
For example:
1. I buy $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) because I believe it has a strong moat and sustainable profitability.
2. For $Tesla(TSLA.US), I'm bullish on the future business models of Robotaxis and humanoid robots, as well as Elon Musk as CEO; he has overcome countless challenges over the years and will continue to do so. The same logic applies to $SpaceX(SPCX.US).
3. With $Alphabet - C(GOOG.US) and $Amazon(AMZN.US), I'm betting on Cloud + AI and their ability to generate profits in the AI era.
I won't list every example, but the core idea is believing in the company's products and its future earning power.
Understanding this means that when volatility hits, you still stand by your thesis and happily add to your position 🤔
Why the Cybercab rollout is a structural revenue story for Tesla — not just another car launch The platform question first. To see what the robotaxi move actually does to Tesla's top line, you have to...

Tesla's slickest move these past two years has been blurring the line between selling a car and selling a business, and leaving you to guess which one is actually on the table.September 3, Austin — th...
I know the ChatGPT moment for $Tesla(TSLA.US) Robotaxi is inevitable.
It's just a matter of when.
So, when the prince falls on hard times, it's the perfect opportunity to position yourself. 🤔
$Tesla(TSLA.US)
Context: Tesla is difficult to value using the automobile business alone. The market is increasingly pricing expectations around autonomy, Robotaxi, energy storage and Optimus. That creates substantial upside if execution succeeds, but also makes the share price vulnerable whenever expectations move much faster than actual earnings.
My trade: Would add only on meaningful weakness rather than chase a momentum rally. At a high valuation, keeping spare capital available for volatility seems more attractive than entering a full position at once.
Takeaway: With high-expectation growth stocks, patience on entry price can matter almost as much as choosing the right company.
$Tesla(TSLA.US) starts batched long call exit mode
This is not investment advice!
$XIAOMI-W(01810.HK)$Tesla(TSLA.US)$XPENG-W(09868.HK)$LEAPMOTOR(09863.HK)
🚨 China’s Largest-Ever Auto Recall - 7 Million Vehicles Affected!
China just announced the biggest recall in its auto industry history, over 7 million cars are being called back. 📉
🔍 The Safety Issue:
The problem: interior emergency door releases are too hard to spot as they match the trim colour. In a serious crash that knocks out the electrics, passengers could be trapped because the mechanical release is hidden. ⚠️
📊 Who’s Impacted:
• Tesla: ~2.97 million vehicles (Model 3/Y/S/X) 🚗
• Xiaomi: 390,435 SU7 series 🚗
• Leapmotor: 371,200 🚗
• Xpeng: 264,842 🚗
• Also: Zeekr, Chery, Geely, Arcfox
🛠️ How They’ll Fix It:
Free warning labels, OTA software updates to roll down windows after a crash, and replacing release covers with clearer, labelled versions.
This comes from new mandatory standard GB 48001–2026, requiring proper mechanical door releases for emergencies.
📷 Full breakdown of risks and fixes in the infographic! 👇
Source:! BREAKING: China’s biggest auto recall hits Tesla, Xiaomi, Leapmotor and others over door escape risk- CnEVPost (21 Aug 2026)
$Tesla(TSLA.US)Tesla increasingly trades more like a meme stock than a company driven by its core business results. Looking back at the previous major rallies, they were often fueled by improving liquidity and a fresh narrative rather than a dramatic change in fundamentals.
Whether it was autonomy, Optimus, Robotaxi, or SpaceX-related expectations, each cycle found a new story for the market to price. The business still matters over the long run, but in the short term, sentiment and liquidity have become much stronger drivers than quarterly earnings.
That’s what makes Tesla so difficult to value: it’s often the narrative that moves first, while the fundamentals catch up later—or sometimes don’t.
@Captain's Treasure

0820 | Dolphin Research Focus: 🐬 Macro/Industry — 1) U.S. Treasury data show that as of Tue close, U.S. public debt outstanding reached $40.05TN, breaching $40TN for the first time. The structural expansion of Gov. debt implies a persistently rising UST supply.
Combined with the earlier move higher in long-end yields, this further pressures valuations across global risk assets. Markets will keep fretting about fiscal sustainability, pushing up term premia and favoring gold and other havens.Growth-stock multiples face headwinds. Watch the UST issuance calendar and shifts in demand from Intl long-only funds...$Tesla(TSLA.US)start investing when there is SpaceX free stock activity and finally my holding reach breakeven point. Hope it back to the glory back in 1 month ago soon,
A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY.
Here's a full recap:1. Moderna $Moderna(MRNA.US) and Merck $Merck(MRK.US) said their personalized mRNA cancer vaccine, intismeran, combined with Keytruda slowed melanoma recurrence and spread in a late-stage trial. The Phase 3 study was stopped at its first interim analysis after positive results, though detailed efficacy data have not yet been released. If the benefit holds, this would mark the first randomized Phase 3 validation of a personalized neoantigen cancer vaccine and could significantly expand the use case for mRNA technology beyond traditional vaccines. $Moderna(MRNA.US) surged 175% today, became the 2nd-best performing stock in the S&P 500 this year, and triggered an estimated $4.8B loss for short sellers. It was also the largest one-day percentage gain ever for an S&P 500 stock.2. Crypto rallied sharply today as $Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF(BTC.US) Bitcoin jumped roughly 8%, briefly touching about $70,000 for its biggest move since March, before settling near $68,500–$69,500. The move liquidated an estimated $1.4B–$1.7B of short positions and was driven by a mix of lower-yield pressure from Treasury buybacks, regulatory optimism, and today’s White House crypto meeting. $ETH Ethereum, $Emeren(SOL.US) Solana, and other major alts also traded higher, while crypto-linked stocks like Coinbase and Circle rallied. President Trump urged Congress to pass a “fair version” of the Clarity Act, said the U.S. should remain the leader in Bitcoin, crypto, prediction markets, and AI, and said he would listen to recommendations on whether the U.S. should accumulate more Bitcoin or crypto. Trump also said the CFTC is working to bring Hyperliquid into the U.S. in a fully compliant way, helping send HYPE higher. Overall, the tone was strongly pro-crypto, though the Clarity Act still faces political hurdles in the Senate.3. Nebius $Nebius(NBIS.US) announced a proposed private offering of $4.5B of convertible senior notes. The offering includes $2.75B of notes due 2030 and $1.75B of notes due 2034, with an option for an additional $675M. Key terms, including interest rates and conversion prices, will be determined at pricing. Nebius was down 9.87% today.4. U.S. national debt just crossed $40T, with the latest $10T added in roughly 4.5 years. The debt now equals about $116,481 per citizen and $360,794 per taxpayer, while the debt-to-GDP ratio sits around 122.7%. Federal spending is running at roughly $7.26T, compared to federal tax revenue of about $5.59T, leaving a federal budget deficit near $1.68T. Net interest on the debt is now running above $1.1T, making it one of the largest line items in the federal budget.5. The U.S. Treasury announced it will double the size of long-term government debt buybacks after the rapid surge in Treasury yields. Repurchases of $2B will now increase to at least $4B, with the Treasury saying the move is meant to provide “liquidity support” for bonds maturing in 10 to 30 years as total U.S. debt nears $40T. The situation is like someone with a 30-year mortgage at 3.25% refinancing into a 1-year adjustable-rate loan at 5.75% because the market won’t absorb the longer-term debt cleanly. In other words, longer-duration, lower-cost debt is being replaced with shorter-term, higher-cost financing. Now apply that dynamic across trillions of dollars in U.S. government debt. That is the pressure Treasury is trying to manage as long-term yields keep rising.6. Starlink is reapplying for India approval for its Gen 2 network, seeking authorization for nearly 30,000 LEO satellites operating at 340–615 km, including direct-to-device connectivity. India previously approved only Starlink’s 4,408-satellite Gen 1 network after rejecting the earlier Gen 2 application. The move comes as India is still finalizing D2D rules and satellite spectrum pricing, with Jio, Amazon Leo, and OneWeb also competing for the market, according to ET.7. Goldman Sachs is preparing a roughly $1.15B junk bond to finance a Virginia data center leased to CoreWeave $Coreweave(CRWV.US). The deal is expected in September, with Goldman moving forward even as investors demand higher yields for AI infrastructure debt tied to CoreWeave. The financing comes after a separate $3.5B CoreWeave-backed deal recently priced at a 10% yield, underscoring how capital-intensive AI data center buildouts have become and how much credit markets are now focused on AI infrastructure risk.8. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $Tesla(TSLA.US) with 2.9M contracts, $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) with 2.6M contracts, $Apple(AAPL.US) with 1.9M contracts, $Amazon(AMZN.US) with 1.0M contracts, $Intel(INTC.US) with 932K contracts, $Micron Tech(MU.US) with 886K contracts, $Strategy(MSTR.US) with 789K contracts, $Microsoft(MSFT.US) with 745K contracts, $SpaceX(SPCX.US) with 694K contracts, and $Meta Platforms(META.US) with 658K contracts.9. Nvidia $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) has reportedly discussed investing in AI data supplier Mercor as part of a funding round that would value the startup at $20B, according to The Information. Mercor hires specialists across science, law, finance, and other fields to train and evaluate AI models, producing higher-quality data for complex tasks. Nvidia paid Mercor tens of millions of dollars last quarter and used its data to develop its two latest Nemotron models, with several Mercor employees now reportedly focused almost entirely on Nvidia-related work. The relationship is expanding as Nvidia invests more heavily in Nemotron, its open AI model family. Mercor has also worked with OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic, while annualized gross revenue reportedly reached $2B in June, double its level from the start of the year.10. Webull $Webull(BULL.US) reported Q2’26 revenue of $198.8M, beating estimates of $181M, up 51% YoY and 24% sequentially. Adjusted EPS came in at $0.12 versus $0.03 expected, up 140% YoY, while net income reached $24.4M and adjusted operating profit was $62.6M, representing a 31.5% margin. Trading-related revenue rose 66% YoY to $147.7M. Customer assets grew 79% YoY to $28.5B, registered users reached 28.2M, funded accounts hit 5.13M, equity notional volume rose 73% YoY to $279B, and options contract volume increased 68% YoY to 213M. Webull also launched Vega Analyst and announced the acquisition of Pi Securities in Thailand.11. President Trump is reportedly set to reduce tariffs on automobiles imported from Canada from 25% to 15% as part of a broader trade deal, according to Bloomberg. The current tariff applies to the non-U.S. content of vehicles produced in Canada, and that same content provision is expected to apply under the new 15% rate. U.S. and Canadian negotiators have also discussed whether to expand the exemption to include additional content, though no final decision has been made.12. U.S. margin debt fell by a record $85B in July to $1.42T, marking the largest monthly decline ever and the first monthly drop since March. For context, the prior record decline was $80B in January 2022, right as the bear market began. The pullback follows a massive $198B surge in margin debt across May and June, the largest two-month increase on record. Even after July’s historic decline, margin debt is still up $518B, or 58%, since the start of 2025.WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.Source: amit
My Call : USD$132.50
Alibaba’s robust AI cloud momentum, highlighted by high-profile enterprise partnerships like Apple and Tesla, provides strong upside potential. Despite near-term margin pressure from strategic reinvestment, positive options market sentiment and strong bullish positioning ahead of the Q1 print support a solid post-earnings rally within the options-implied 6% range.
$Alibaba(BABA.US)reports its June quarter — FY2027 Q1 — before the US open on Thursday, 20 August, landing around 19:30 SGT.If you follow China tech, this is the one you have been waiting for. The who...
.Beginner's Guide: Finding Value in the Magnificent 7Part 1: Ranking the Mag 7 by Valuation — Who's Actually Cheap?The "Magnificent 8" — [stock Apple], [stock Microsoft], [stock Alphabet], [stock Amaz...