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My current KWEB position shows a -5.27% unrealized loss (today's loss alone is 3.12%), with the market at $26.626 versus a $28.110 cost basis. Chinese internet equities remain highly volatile amid shifting economic headwinds. As part of my risk management, I am avoiding the urge to prematurely average down, keeping my allocation strictly capped until a definitive technical reversal signals a turnaround. $Krne Csi China Internet(KWEB.US)
📈 Covered Call Case Study – KWEB China Internet ETFDisclaimer: This article is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Options involve risk and may not be suitable for all investors...
$KWEB is filling the final bearish FVG while basing at key support, with confluence at the lower boundary of the Ichimoku cloud.
China has been in a deflationary regime, but policy is now inflecting toward consumption stimulus.This is one of the few asymmetric setups left.Source: Kapital Trader
The key issue isn’t whether taxes go up overnight, but how services gradually move from “growth” to “mature” tax brackets.
China ADRs: Rationale behind Tax Hike Scare?
China internet ADRs sold off again on fresh tax-rumor jitters. With headlines of varying credibility, Dolphin Research takes a top-down look.
We start with the Gov.'s four ledgers. They are: 1) the general public budget, i.e., core fiscal revenue; 2) the government fund budget, an earmarked book funded mainly by land-sale proceeds; 3) the state capital operations budget, effectively the shareholder ledger funded by SOE profit and dividend remittances. In essence, this reflects the Gov.'s resource-allocation power...
China internet ADRs sold off again on fresh tax-rumor jitters. With headlines of varying credibility, Dolphin Research takes a top-down look.
We start with the Gov.'s four ledgers. They are: 1) the general public budget, i.e., core fiscal revenue; 2) the government fund budget, an earmarked book funded mainly by land-sale proceeds; 3) the state capital operations budget, effectively the shareholder ledger funded by SOE profit and dividend remittances. In essence, this reflects the Gov.'s resource-allocation power...$Krne Csi China Internet(KWEB.US) This is a bit less. I usually don't like to buy too much ETF.
Krne Csi China Internet
USKWEB
$Krne Csi China Internet(KWEB.US) No words, just gonna hit you at market open tonight!
Hello everyone, this is Dolphin Research! In last week's strategy report, Dolphin Research mentioned that after the tariff issue was settled, the market's focus would shift to Trump's second wave of tax cuts and industrial policies. "But the fatal BUG here is that tax cuts and industrial stimulus essentially require fiscal backing." Will the upcoming short-term trading revolve around this "BUG," thereby affecting the valuation expectations of the entire asset class? Let's take a detailed look: 1. Trump's "Big, Beautiful Bill" = "Big Deficit" Bill? This new bill, the "Big, Beautiful Bill"...
+10Recently, the (international) macro environment has been quite turbulent, with Trump firing on all cylinders. In contrast, it's been relatively quiet for us, which, compared to the strong anti-China rhetoric of his aides, makes him seem like the least anti-China figure in the entire administration. Someone raised a hypothesis: Given China's years of thorough preparation and response, coupled with the inflationary pressures in the U.S., is there a possibility that imposing tariffs on the East now might shift from the previous 'inflict 1,000 losses on the enemy while suffering 800 ourselves' to 'inflict 800 losses on the enemy while suffering 1,000, or even 2,000 ourselves'? If so, could this lead to some actual compromises, 'raising high...'
The return of Trump, its impact on the Chinese concept stock $Krne Csi China Internet(KWEB.US), I'll just post this layman's chart for everyone to feel.
Trump proposed 10-20% tariffs on all imported goods and 60% tariffs on Chinese products. Whether it's just talk or not, the attitude is clear - bringing manufacturing back.
Next year's economy will depend on domestic demand (aka policy stimulus).
$Direxion FTSE China Bull 3X(YINN.US) Reuters reported at 16:30, the pre-market trend was initially confident, then hesitated, and then regained confidence...
$Direxion FTSE China Bear 3X(YANG.US)$Krne Csi China Internet(KWEB.US)
$Roundhill China Dragons ETF(DRAG.US) looks quite illiquid, and it seems pretty similar to these three ETFs, with NetEase having a higher weight $iShares China Large Cap(FXI.US)$Krne Csi China Internet(KWEB.US)$iShares MSCI China(MCHI.US)
Currently, many Chinese stocks in Hong Kong stocks, A-shares and US stocks have risen sharply, which makes stock investors face difficulties in choosing, and participating in market fluctuations through investing in ETFs may be a better choice. During the closure of the A-share market during the National Day holiday, we can continue to trade through China-concept ETFs in Hong Kong and US stocks to understand the most watched China-concept ETFs.
+1$Krne Csi China Internet(KWEB.US) $Hang Seng TECH Index(STECH.HK) anticipated that after the Fed rate cut, the domestic policy space would open up, but did not expect such a significant shift in attitude towards the economy. Especially since normally, the political meetings at the end of September or in October do not usually focus on the economy, so this change in attitude came as a surprise. The current domestic economy is ailing, the symptoms of this ailment: deflation expectations are gradually solidifying, fundamentally due to the inability to sustain the previous economic model and the inability to find new driving forces...
🤣Now long China becomes the most crowded trade!$Krne Csi China Internet(KWEB.US)
After the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points and confirmed the start of a rate-cutting cycle, China's policy space has finally opened up. The last rebound opportunity for Chinese concept stocks this year, as previously mentioned by Dolphin Research, has arrived.
In addition to the rare combination of interest rate and reserve requirement ratio cuts, as well as measures to address high mortgage rates for homeowners who bought at peak prices by further reducing existing mortgage rates, the real surprises were the policies targeting listed companies (CNY 300 billion, with the central bank lending to banks at 1.75% and banks lending to listed companies at 2.25%) and the tools for banks, insurers, and securities firms to borrow funds for stock purchases (CNY 500 billion). These policies are purely aimed at boosting the stock market.
For example, the swap facility for banks, insurers, and securities firms allows these institutions to use their holdings of stocks/ETFs as collateral with the central bank to obtain funds for further stock and ETF purchases, creating a cycle until the facility's quota is exhausted.
This isn't just about the quota (especially since the central bank has indicated it can increase the quota), but more about the fact that short sellers now face a central bank with unlimited firepower, which has a significant deterrent effect on short selling.
The loan tool for listed companies to repurchase and increase holdings also positively encourages companies to step up buybacks, sending a clear warning to short sellers.
Other deterrent measures include the possibility of further cuts to the reserve requirement ratio by 25-50 basis points and the potential for additional quotas if the swap facility proves effective.
These policies clearly demonstrate that, with the Fed's rate cuts easing pressure on the yuan's exchange rate, China's monetary policy space has expanded. The rapid joint action by China's three major financial regulators reflects an obvious intent to rescue the market, with a pronounced deterrent effect on short sellers.
In terms of results, one visible outcome is that Chinese concept stocks (which generally have ample cash but are undervalued) have seen short sellers genuinely spooked under this policy onslaught, helping valuations rebound from extreme pessimism. This is what Dolphin Research referred to as the last opportunity for China's overseas assets amid the Fed's rate cuts.
However, after this rebound, sustained fundamental improvement still depends on demand recovery. What's really needed here is fiscal policy, with monetary policy playing a supporting role. The direction and scale of fiscal policy will likely only become clear after December's economic conference. In the short term, the momentum of the monetary policy-driven rally in the latter half will hinge on October's consumption performance.
$Krne Csi China Internet(KWEB.US)