StockMarket.News

Today was one of those sessions where every single asset class got hit simultaneously and that combination tells you something specific about what just happened.

The trigger was the May jobs report.

The US economy added 172,000 jobs in May, coming in well above the forecasts that ranged from 80,000 to 105,000. 

On the surface that sounds like good news but in this market, it was the worst possible number.

The Federal Reserve has been on hold for months, with markets hoping for rate cuts. 

A strong jobs report especially alongside PCE inflation running at 3.8% annually tells the Fed that the economy is not cooling fast enough to justify cuts. 

Instead, traders immediately repriced the probability of a rate hike in December from 26% to 43%.

That one shift in rate expectations rippled through every asset class at once.

Stocks sold off because higher rates mean higher borrowing costs for companies and more competition from bonds for investor capital.

The S&P 500 dropped 1.65%, wiping out $1.14 trillion in market value, Nasdaq dropped 2.60%, losing $1.11 trillion, with semiconductor and AI stocks leading the decline after Broadcom left its full year AI chip targets unchanged the day before.

Gold dropped 3.38%, wiping out $1 trillion. 

This seems counterintuitive until you understand that higher interest rates make non-yielding assets like gold less attractive, cash and bonds start paying more, so gold loses its relative appeal.

Silver dropped 6.9%, losing $280 billion, and was already under pressure from a separate wave of Chinese investor selling earlier in the week.

Bitcoin dropped 6.31%, wiping out $80 billion, crypto has been trading as a risk-on asset in this cycle, meaning when fear spikes and rates rise, Bitcoin sells off alongside tech stocks rather than acting as a safe haven.

The fact that everything dropped together stocks, gold, silver, and Bitcoin is the key signal here.

This is not a story about any one sector being overvalued or any company reporting bad results. 

This is a macro repricing event, where a single piece of economic data forced the entire market to recalibrate its assumptions about where interest rates are going.

When rates rise, the discount rate investors apply to future earnings goes up, which mechanically compresses valuations on every asset that is priced on future cash flows which is effectively everything.

The important context is that this does not change the underlying AI investment thesis, the $7.6 trillion capex buildout, or the fundamental demand for the companies we have been discussing this week.

What it does mean is that the market is entering a more volatile phase where inflation and Fed policy become as important as earnings and revenue growth.Source: StockMarket.News

The United States is spending 650 billion dollars to build the AI infrastructure that will define the next century and it cannot plug the machines in because it does not make the parts.

US imports of major electrical equipment hit 411 billion dollars in 2025, up 78 percent since 2020 and driven almost entirely by AI companies racing to build data centers faster than American factories can support them.

The equipment in question is not exotic or advanced.

Transformers, switchgear, and batteries, the fundamental hardware that converts grid power into usable electricity inside a data center cannot be manufactured domestically at anywhere near the scale required.

Without them, the chips do not turn on.

A data center full of NVIDIA GPUs is a very expensive warehouse if it cannot be connected to power.

Nearly 50 percent of all US data centers planned for 2026 are now expected to be delayed or canceled because the transformers needed to power them are on backorder.

Transformer delivery times that once ran 24 to 30 months now stretch to five years in some cases, three times longer than the 18-month deployment cycle AI companies actually need to stay competitive.

Here is where the crisis becomes a contradiction that no tariff can resolve.

The country that manufactures the majority of the electrical equipment the United States needs to win the AI race is China.

US imports of high-power transformers from China jumped from fewer than 1,500 units in all of 2022 to over 8,000 units in just the first ten months of 2025.

China controls roughly 60 percent of global transformer manufacturing capacity and supplies more than 40 percent of US battery imports.

The Trump administration's tariffs on Chinese goods are raising costs across the entire data center supply chain, with one analysis finding that tariffs on electric static converters alone added 1.9 billion dollars in costs on imports that were already 5.5 billion dollars annually.

One major US enterprise faced nearly 2 billion dollars in projected additional yearly tariff exposure on data center components alone.

Electrical infrastructure accounts for less than 10 percent of total data center construction costs.

But without it, the trillions being poured into AI cannot be realized.

The United States is simultaneously trying to win the AI race, decouple from China, and build at a speed its domestic manufacturing base is structurally incapable of supporting.

Those three goals are in direct conflict with each other, and the conflict is already showing up in canceled construction timelines across the country.Source: StockMarket.News

The American housing market is BREAKING apart in slow motion.

The data just hit a level we haven't seen since the last financial crisis.

Here's what nobody in power is willing to say out loud

Google searches for "can't sell house" just hit an ALL-TIME HIGH.

Higher than COVID.

Higher than 2008, the year the entire financial system nearly collapsed. 

At the same time, searches for "help with mortgage" have exploded to levels unseen in almost two decades.

The last time this happened, 10 million Americans lost their homes.

Redfin confirmed there are now 44% more home sellers than buyers across the country.

600,000 more people trying to get out than trying to get in.

The second largest gap ever recorded.

Over 40,000 home purchases were canceled in December alone.

16.3% of every deal signed that month fell apart.

The highest cancellation rate ever tracked.

Buyers are signing contracts and then running for the exits.

Here's how they're doing it.

Buyers are weaponizing inspection contingencies as a legal escape hatch.

They find a minor crack in the foundation. 

They use it to walk away.

The real reason? They can't afford the payments.

Meanwhile, mortgage delinquencies are climbing at the fastest rate in years.

Early stage missed payments surged 30.9% in a single year.

Over 850,000 Americans are now 90 or more days behind on their mortgage.

The highest number since 2022.

Foreclosure filings are up 26% year over year.

Completed foreclosures up 59%.

Eleven straight months of increases.

DR Horton, the biggest homebuilder in America just admitted the quiet part out loud.

They're slashing prices, stacking incentives and buying down mortgage rates for buyers.

Still can't move houses.

When the largest builder in the country is struggling, the rest of the market is 6 to 12 months behind.

Nationally, employers announced 1.2 million job cuts in 2025.

Consumer confidence is near a record low.

Nobody buys a house when they're worried about keeping their job.

Here's the part that should terrify you.

Mortgage rates just dropped below 6% for the first time in three years.

That was supposed to fix everything.

It didn't, sales still collapsed 8.4% in January. 

Buyers still aren't showing up.

The cavalry came but it wasn't enough.

So is this 2008 again?

The honest answer: the structure is different. 

Most homeowners have equity. Lending standards are tighter. 

There's no wave of exploding adjustable rate mortgages.

But that's also the trap.

Owners refuse to drop prices because they have equity. 

So nothing sells, liquidity disappears. 

And the market freezes solid.

Sellers can't sell. Buyers can't afford. 

Builders can't move inventory, workers can't find jobs.

Everyone is stuck and the longer it lasts, the more fragile the whole system becomes.

The last time Google searches looked like this, the housing market lost $6 trillion in value.

Pay attention.

Bookmark and share this.Source: StockMarket.News

Just In: The US Federal Reserve officially cuts interest rates by 25 basis points in their third interest rate cut of 2025.

The Fed also says it will begin purchasing US Treasury Bills on December 12th and will purchase $40 billion worth of Treasury Bills in 30 days.
Source: StockMarket.News

November is typically one of the market’s easier months. 

Going back to 1927, the S&P 500 has finished higher in November 59% of the time, with an average gain of about 1%.

In the first year of a presidential cycle, the odds get even better, the win rate jumps to 67%.

And historically, when the market enters November already up big on the year, it still tends to tack on more gains. 

Do we still have enough momentum to finish the year strong?Source: StockMarket.News

Hollywood is hemorrhaging jobs at a historic rate and almost nobody is talking about it seriously.

Motion picture employment has collapsed, now lower than 2015 levels, erasing an entire decade of gains in just three years.

At the peak in 2022, Hollywood had added 35% more jobs than a decade prior, a streaming-fueled gold rush of content nobody needed.

Then the music stopped violently and all at once.

 A 30% employment drop from the late-2022 peak, with 42,000 jobs vanishing from Los Angeles County alone in just 24 months.

The industry blamed the writers and actors strikes first but the strikes ended and the jobs never came back.

Now we know why.

Studios are making far fewer movies and TV shows than at any point in modern memory. 

US series premieres in Q1 2025 were down 42% compared to 2022, with some streaming platforms slashing their release slates by more than half.

California now ranks sixth in the world for filming location  behind countries it used to dominate.

Nearly half of all U.S. film and TV projects are now produced entirely outside the country.

The people losing these jobs are not executives or studio heads but are sound mixers, set builders, concept artists, camera operators, and animators, the invisible workforce that makes every movie you have ever loved.

And AI is accelerating the destruction before the industry has even stabilized from the strikes.

One study commissioned by Hollywood's own unions estimated that 204,000 entertainment jobs across the U.S. will be adversely affected by AI within the next three years. 

Three-quarters of entertainment company leaders surveyed already confirmed that AI tools have been used to eliminate or consolidate jobs at their companies.

In 2025 alone, the broader entertainment and media sector cut 17,163 positions, an 18% increase in layoffs from the year before.

The Wrap says the contraction will continue in 2026, with tech giants like Netflix, Apple, and Amazon now eclipsing traditional Hollywood studios entirely.

Hollywood spent a century building the most powerful entertainment machine on earth but now streaming overextended it, strikes fractured it and AI is now harvesting what remains.Source: StockMarket.News

Wall Street just built a weapon to destroy itself, and the names on the target list should terrify you.

JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Bank of America and Barclays assembled a new index last week, one that rises in value the closer these firms get to collapse. They called it CDX Financials and they're selling it to hedge funds right now. The firms listed inside it are some of the biggest names in American finance, Blackstone, Apollo, Ares Management, MetLife, and Jefferies Financial Group. Their stocks have been in freefall since January down anywhere from 27 to 43 percent in just a few months.

 This isn't a stock market correction but rather a unwinding of a $3 trillion shadow banking system that replaced your local bank after the 2008 financial crisis. Private credit,  loans made not by banks, but by these giant investment firms became the lifeblood of thousands of American companies. It was the hottest trade on Wall Street for five straight years, minting billionaires and generating returns that made traditional finance look boring. Then the losses started showing up.

The trigger wasn't a single bank run or a housing crash but rather AI. These firms had lent hundreds of billions of dollars to software companies, and then AI started making those software companies obsolete almost overnight. Suddenly, the loans couldn't be repaid. Suddenly, the investors who had poured money into these private credit funds wanted their money back,  all at once. Apollo approved only 45 cents on the dollar for investors trying to get out. Ares, Blackstone, and Blue Owl quietly capped withdrawals too. In the first quarter of 2026 alone, investors demanded $20.8 billion back, and the funds couldn't give it to them.

Now the same banks that helped build this machine are selling the tools to tear it down. When JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs create a product specifically designed to profit from these firms failing, that is not a hedge. The people who understand the plumbing of this system best have decided it is safer to bet against it than to stand inside it. The last time Wall Street built instruments like this around a collapsing asset class, it was 2007, and the product was called a credit default swap on mortgage bonds.Source: StockMarket.News

We had an amazing Nvidia earnings beat, but the market still sold off. 

For the first time all year, I’m genuinely worried. Source: StockMarket.News

OpenAI is on track to have massive revenue this decade but the cloud bill is even bigger so the business never actually cash flows positive and needs hundreds of billions in outside funding to keep growing. HSBC models OpenAI’s sales ramping toward $200B plus by 2030 as ChatGPT and AI tools reach billions of people but in the same window they think OpenAI spends roughly $800B on compute, mostly renting GPUs and data center capacity from Microsoft, Oracle, and Amazon.  

The mismatch means OpenAI stays cash negative all decade and has a roughly $207B funding hole that needs to be plugged with equity, debt or strategic cash from partners.

What that means for the industry is that OpenAI looks less like a classic software company and more like a capital intensive utility where every new user brings a big compute bill that offsets the subscription or ad revenue. If this math is right, the near‑term winners in the AI trade are the infrastructure layer cloud providers, chip makers, and data center operators while OpenAI and companies like it sit in the middle, building great products but funneling most of the cash straight into someone else’s GPU farm.Source: StockMarket.News

Mortgage rates are climbing even though the Federal Reserve just cut interest rates. At first glance, that feels strange. If the Fed is lowering borrowing costs, shouldn’t mortgages also get cheaper? The key is that the Fed only controls short-term rates, while mortgage rates depend heavily on long-term bond yields, especially the 10-year Treasury. Right after the Fed’s latest cut, the 10-year yield moved higher to about 4.11%, which pushed 30-year mortgage rates up to roughly 6.26%. 

The reason this happens is because markets anticipate the Fed’s moves. Investors had already priced in the rate cut weeks before the announcement, so when the news finally came, there was no surprise to push rates lower. At the same time, inflation concerns remain, and investors want more return if they are going to lock up money in long-term bonds. That demand for a higher return makes Treasury yields rise, and since mortgage rates are tied to those yields, they go up as well.

We saw the same pattern last year. Before the September 2024 cut, mortgage rates fell in anticipation, hitting multi-year lows. But once the cut was official and the market realized inflation pressures were still strong, yields and mortgage rates reversed higher. Within months, mortgage rates had shot past 7%. This shows how markets are always forward-looking. They do not just react to what the Fed does today, they react to what they think will happen with inflation, government spending, and the broader economy.

For borrowers, this means lower Fed rates do not guarantee cheaper mortgages. Higher mortgage rates make homes less affordable, limit refinancing opportunities, and weigh on overall housing activity. Builders and buyers become more cautious, and price growth slows. What really drives mortgage rates is the mix of Fed policy, inflation expectations, fiscal concerns like government borrowing, and even global financial shifts.

That is why mortgage rates can rise after a Fed cut. Investors see risks ahead and demand a bigger safety cushion. Until inflation pressures ease and long-term confidence improves, homebuyers and refinancers will face higher costs, even when the Fed is cutting rates. This is the second year in a row we have seen this disconnect, and it highlights how complicated the relationship between central bank policy and real-world borrowing costs has become.Source: StockMarket.News