FL2CSOPGOLD

We are seeing gold rally this morning and right before tomorrow’s inflation data. Speculators are betting on a softer CPI print.

On top of that, hopes for a deal over the Strait of Hormuz are fading now that Trump is asking Iran for reparations. That extra geopolitical risk is giving gold another big boost.

Time to accumulate gold 🙄?

$SPDR Gold Shares(GLD.US) Gold rose more than 2% on Wednesday to a one-month high as hopes of a U.S.-Iran peace deal tempered some inflation concerns, while investors awaited key U.S. jobs data for clues on the Federal Reserve’s policy path. President Donald Trump said his administration had “very good discussions” with Iran during all-day negotiations on Tuesday, fuelling expectations of an imminent end to the five-month conflict. “There are increasing signs of a Gulf ceasefire deal, which means Treasury yields are moving lower on easing inflation worries, which helps make non-yielding assets like gold more attractive,” said Jamie Dutta, a market analyst. The U.S. dollar remained under pressure, making greenback-priced metals more attractive to holders of other currencies, while yields on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note fell to a one-week low. Gold tends to lose its appeal in a high interest-rate environment despite its status as an inflation hedge, as it yields no interest. Traders are now pricing in a 59% probability of a September rate hike, down from 67% a day earlier. Moreover, I don't think Gold will gain too much with a rate hike still very likely by the end of the year. Still, having precious metals in your portfolio could help to hedge against AI bubble risks. @Captain's Treasure

$GLD SG(GSD.SG)

Gold is looking good at these levels. It has always been a safe haven asset and one that central banks and investors depend on when there is fear and distrust in the fiat system.

In my honest opinion, the value of gold will always rise as long as inflation is around.

@Captain's Treasure

Gold → closed at around $4,112 on Friday, then fell towards $4,060 at the beginning of this week due to rising inflation and interest rate hike expectations triggered by escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, which pushed up real yields (this is a headwind for gold in 2026).

With the war and interest rate hikes and cuts being unpredictable, and as storage/computing power stocks surged and chip stocks provided strong support, the US dollar index weakened, and the safe-haven appeal of precious metals declined.

$GLD SG(GSD.SG)

Gold seems to be selling off in the midst of what I believe is the de risking after the peace deal seems more or less confirmed with the vote to wind down the middle east stand off.

This coincides with dropping oil price as well. However, I am still holding on to gold which looks like at the end of its three wave pull back.

@Bridge Buzz SG

The overall major trend of the gold sector today presents the characteristics of "a solid long-term bull market pattern, but entering a phase of high-level consolidation and differentiation in the short term." This is mainly due to the underlying assets — today's market: Gold is under pressure at high levels, mining stocks are experiencing a pullback on high volume. Spot gold is consolidating at high levels: Currently, the international spot gold price remains firm above $4310 per ounce. Although the long-term trend is extremely strong, the short term faces resistance at the $4500 mark. Today, the market is mainly digesting the news of "possible easing of Middle East tensions and a sharp drop in oil prices," leading to a slight cooling of risk-aversion sentiment. GDX market performance: As an industry bellwether, GDX is currently fluctuating around $88.00. Having risen all the way from lows near $50, its year-to-date gains are substantial. Today's volatility is typical profit-taking by long positions at high levels, not the end of the medium-term trend. Core Major Trend Catalysts Gold mining stocks have the attribute of being "gold price amplifiers." The underlying logic supporting their long-term major trend remains solid, but there is short-term noise: Negative: Recent rumors of a preliminary peace agreement between the US and Iran have materialized, leading the market to expect a phased reduction in geopolitical premium. This has triggered some profit-taking in the short-term crude oil and precious metals markets. Positive: Permanent upward shift in gold price center: Gold's surge from just over two thousand dollars to firmly stand above $4300 means major gold miners will achieve record-high free cash flow and gross margins in 2026. Institutional reallocation: Due to the earnings explosion, traditional mutual funds and hedge funds are continuously rotating profits from high-priced tech stocks into the high-dividend-yielding mining sector. Today's market even saw favorable individual stocks attracting regular investment buying. Technical Major Trend Analysis If you are trading GDX or specific gold mining stocks, the current trend pattern can be used for macro defense and right-side positioning based on the following key technical levels: Phased long structure remains intact: From the moving average system, GDX's EMA and SMA still maintain a perfect upward-sloping long arrangement. The MACD formed a golden crossover above the zero line again in early June, meaning the major trend is still controlled by the bulls. Core support levels: First support zone: Near $85.00. Bull-bear dividing line: The $78.00 range. Core resistance levels: The key resistance above is at the $95.00 round-number mark. Due to the rapid rise in gold prices this round, GDX needs to undergo a change of hands in holdings between $85 to consolidate strength before having the momentum to challenge the $100 mark. Trading Strategy Reference Due to the amplification of short-term implied volatility with the rise in gold prices, gold mining stocks are currently in a high-level consolidation and accumulation phase. The cost-effectiveness of fully buying the underlying stock to chase gains is beginning to decrease. If you are bullish on the solid support of spot gold at $4300, it would be more comfortable to use derivative strategies when GDX pulls back near $85–87 — for example, selling deep out-of-the-money Puts or constructing bull vertical spreads. This way, you can both earn premium by leveraging high IV and control your cost basis within a safe defensive range, quietly waiting for the next gold price breakout catalyst.