QCOM 1X Short ETF

TSMC’s revenue +44.7% year-on-year in July to a fresh record high NT$467.58 billion (US$14.61B), amid robust global AI-related demand.

Source: Dan Nystedt

#Trade Showcase: Trade, Show & Earn Rewards

### Trade Recap

Qualcomm (QCOM) surged 4.79% in today’s session, marking a strong single-day rebound across my semiconductor holdings. The rally was driven by upgraded market expectations for its next-generation flagship Snapdragon chipset, early signals of a bottoming global smartphone replacement cycle, and positive updates on its growing automotive semiconductor order backlog. I held my full position steady through the preceding pullback instead of capitulating on losses, and today’s surge has meaningfully narrowed my earlier unrealized drawdown. I made no profit-taking moves today, letting the upward momentum play out as trading volume confirmed broad institutional buying interest.

### Investment Insight

This price action reinforces how sharply cyclical semiconductor stocks can snap back. The weeks of weakness ahead of this rally were fueled mostly by bearish market sentiment around handset demand, not a permanent breakdown of Qualcomm’s patent licensing moat or chip design leadership. For cyclical tech names, the trough of market pessimism often aligns with the most attractive risk-reward entry point. Staying patient through drawdowns delivers better returns than chasing short-term swings, since recovery rallies tend to arrive abruptly and pack outsized single-day gains.

### Risk Control Strategy

I apply a tiered exit framework for all cyclical chip positions to balance upside and downside. First, QCOM is capped at 6% of my total portfolio to limit single-name cyclical exposure. Second, I will trim 30% of the holding once price recovers fully to my original cost basis, locking in reduced risk while keeping core exposure. Third, a 7% trailing stop from the latest swing high will be activated to protect accumulated gains if upward momentum reverses. I will not add positions at today’s elevated level, waiting for a healthy pullback or concrete fundamental confirmation before increasing allocation.$Qualcomm(QCOM.US)

$Qualcomm(QCOM.US) paydays sold for great payday %. I now settle into the full swing with $ in my pocket. Same system different symbol.

Source: Sunrise Trader

$Qualcomm(QCOM.US) daily putting in a hollow stick potential reversal stick. Has small ER gap now overhead. I did buy it using the 5-15 min charts. 2 charts attached. Daily and 15 min

Source: Sunrise Trader

QCOM 2Q26 First Take: Results remained muted. Revenue met Street expectations but continued to decline. GPM kept slipping, pressured by higher memory prices and soft demand, which pushed up costs.

Guidance for next quarter calls for revenue of $9.7–10.5bn, with no clear sign of recovery. Non-GAAP EPS is guided to $2.05–2.25, below the Street at $2.36. Demand in handsets and other end-markets stays weak, while memory inflation continues to weigh on costs.

With the core franchise sluggish, the company is pushing for a breakthrough in data centers. It plans to build across four tracks: custom silicon, commercial CPUs, AI accelerators, and connectivity products. This narrative once lifted the stock above $250.

As concerns over the durability of AI capex mounted, the stock was dragged down by the sector-wide selloff. Shares have fallen back below $160, effectively giving back the data center-driven rally.

Against a fragile AI backdrop, the data center business has yet to contribute meaningful revenue and should be viewed as an upside option. The legacy businesses still face headwinds from memory price increases. If the memory cycle turns down, that pressure should gradually ease.

Today, legacy products such as smartphones remain in decline, which continues to pressure the company. When memory pressure abates and downstream demand firms, earnings and valuation should find a floor and turn up. For more, follow Dolphin Research for subsequent takes and transcripts. $Qualcomm(QCOM.US)

Top movers: $Lam Research(LRCX.US) $Starbucks(SBUX.US) $Fortinet(FTNT.US)

MediaTek and Qualcomm are both raising prices on smartphone chips in the 3rd quarter due to rising costs across the supply chain – including wafers, packaging materials, services, etc. – caused by the AI data center build out, media report, with MediaTek price increases already in place and Qualcomm’s due Sep. 1.

Source: Dan Nystedt

$Qualcomm(QCOM.US) | Benchmark Co. maintains 𝐁𝐮𝐲 on 𝐐𝐮𝐚𝐥𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐦, maintains 𝐏𝐓 𝐚𝐭 $𝟑𝟎𝟎

TSMC’s first 2nm fab hit a production milestone of 20,000 wafers-per-month (wpm), the best among 5 fabs ramping 2nm capacity in Taiwan, media report, citing unnamed industry sources. Fab 20 in Hsinchu sits by TSMC’s main R&D fab, giving it a prime position in the rollout of new process technologies. Analysts are optimistic the strong 2nm ramp up along with a diverse group of customers, from AI accelerators and smartphone chips, to CPUs and GPUs. $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) $Apple(AAPL.US) $AMD(AMD.US) $Qualcomm(QCOM.US) #Mediatek

Source: Dan Nystedt

Speedrun | Upcoming Events This Week - [July 27 - July 31, 2026]

TSMC’s 3nm process enjoys visibility through 2027 as the chip foundry wins more orders, media report, noting 3nm remains fully loaded now:

Source: Dan Nystedt

$Qualcomm(QCOM.US) | Qualcomm & Samsung AI Partnership Updates:

Yole Group: CPO Supply Chain

UMC, Taiwan’s 2nd biggest chip foundry, is looking to expand a fab in south Taiwan due to an overflow of advanced packaging and specialty AI-related orders (silicon interposers, DTC) from Qualcomm, Intel and SanDisk, media report, noting new plans for UMC’s Fab 12A P7 near Tainan, Taiwan, are under evaluation. Orders for power management chips (PMICs) for AI products are also booming.

Source: Dan Nystedt

Morgan Stanley: Humanoid Semis Demand

⚡ 𝐔𝐏𝐃𝐀𝐓𝐄: $Micron Tech(MU.US) Micron Signs Long-Term Automotive Supply Agreements With Seven Industry Leaders

Sales of 2nd hand smartphones have surged in Japan due to price hikes on new models, media report, noting high memory chip prices and the falling value of the Japanese yen have caused prices to surge higher than elsewhere. Sales of 2nd hand smartphones rose 12.4% year-on-year to 3.607 million in the April 2025 to March 2026 timeframe, and researchers see the upward trend continuing. $Apple(AAPL.US) $Alphabet(GOOGL.US) $Qualcomm(QCOM.US) #Mediatek

Source: Dan Nystedt