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Fattycat

🚨 Bitcoin Weekly Update: Can BTC Hold the $76.5K Support Amid Macro Turmoil?

📊 Technical Overview

Bitcoin’s strong 3 months rally has hit a sharp pause. After testing resistance close to $82,000, BTC pulled back noticeably toward $77,300, leaving a long upper wick on the monthly chart.

On the four‑hour timeframe, a steep sell‑off broke short‑term consolidation, pushing the 4‑hour RSI down to an oversold reading of 38.69 as price tests support around $76,500.

The monthly RSI stands at a neutral 50.24, which points to a momentum reset rather than a full breakdown of the longer‑term macro trend.

🌍 Fundamental Overview

A string of key early‑November economic releases is prompting traders to reduce risk exposure:

• US Midterm Elections on 3 November: Political uncertainty and potential future crypto regulatory changes are adding to market swings.

• Central bank and macro policy outlook: Interest rate forecasts and ongoing inflation worries continue to shape sentiment for all risk assets.

• Non‑Farm Payrolls on 6 November: Friday’s labour data will be a major driver for Treasury yields and market expectations around Fed rate cuts.

💡 Key Takeaway

Short‑term sellers are in control for now, but the broader upward macro trend is still intact.

The critical level to watch is $76,500. If buyers can hold this zone, we may see a period of sideways movement to absorb selling pressure before prices move higher again.

If BTC falls clearly below $76,500 though, a deeper pullback could follow before the longer‑term uptrend resumes.

Disclaimer: For information only, not financial and investment advice. Do your own due diligence.

$BTC/USD(BTCUSD.HAS)

B BITCOIN(BTC) WEEKLY REVIEW & OUTLOOK Will the 3-Month Rally Sustain? TECHNICAL
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Tonc

$Robinhood(HOOD.US)HOOD sold off sharply after earnings. Revenue growth was solid, but profits came in below expectations, and the market clearly wasn’t willing to overlook that.

This stock rarely trades like a conventional brokerage. Sentiment swings can be extreme, and declining crypto trading volumes are another headwind for transaction revenue.

Interestingly, if interest rate pressure starts to ease, this pullback could create a better opportunity to rebuild a position. The key is whether earnings pressure proves temporary and trading activity picks up again.

HOOD can move fast in both directions, so I’d rather see some stabilization before getting too aggressive.

@Captain's Treasure

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amit

A TON OF THINGS HAPPENED IN THE STOCK MARKET TODAY.

Here's a full recap:

1. Robinhood $Robinhood(HOOD.US) reported Q3 2026 revenue of $1.4B, up 12% YoY but slightly below the $1.42B estimate, while EPS of $0.51 missed expectations of $0.56, including a $0.07 per-share unrealized investment loss primarily tied to Robinhood Ventures Fund I. Net income declined 14% to $476M, while adjusted EBITDA increased 9% to $808M. Transaction-based revenue grew 19% to $867M, partially offset by a 9% decline in net interest revenue to $415M. Meanwhile, total platform assets climbed 19% to $396B, funded customers increased 7% to 28.7M, and Gold subscribers surged 34% to 5.2M, supported by $15.7B in net deposits. Robinhood now has 14 business lines generating over $100M in annualized revenue, with Rothera surpassing $100M in its first full quarter. CEO Vlad Tenev emphasized that customers are entrusting more assets to the platform as Robinhood expands its financial services ecosystem, although earnings growth continues to lag revenue growth.

2. SoFi $SoFi Tech(SOFI.US) delivered a strong Q3 2026, with revenue surging 44% YoY to $1.4B, while adjusted EPS increased 64% to $0.18 and adjusted EBITDA jumped 70% to $469.8M, highlighting accelerating growth and improving profitability. Total members climbed 35% YoY to 17.1M, reflecting continued expansion across SoFi's financial services ecosystem. Looking ahead, the company issued bullish FY2027 guidance, projecting $6.4B in revenue versus $6B expected, EPS of $0.90 versus $0.82 expected, adjusted EBITDA of $2.24B, and net income of $1.28B. CEO Anthony Noto emphasized that SoFi is attracting more members, increasing the number of products used per customer, and generating more revenue per product, reinforcing management's confidence in the company's long-term growth and profitability trajectory.

3. Chinese technology giants Alibaba $Alibaba(BABA.US), Tencent, and ByteDance are reportedly seeking long-term memory supply agreements with Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, according to Korean media, as demand for AI data center infrastructure continues to accelerate. While traditional memory supply contracts typically span 3–5 years, some Chinese cloud service providers are now requesting 10-year agreements extending through 2035 to secure access to critical DDR5 and LPDDR5 memory. The unusually long contract terms highlight growing concerns over future memory availability as hyperscalers expand AI computing capacity and compete for limited supply. The development could provide Samsung and SK Hynix with greater long-term revenue visibility and reinforces the structural demand outlook for the broader memory industry, including Micron $Micron Tech(MU.US).

4. Meta $Meta Platforms(META.US) has reportedly upsized its Class A common stock offering to $25B from $22.5B, pricing the shares at $625 each as the company raises additional capital to support its massive AI infrastructure expansion. Notably, NVIDIA $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) is investing $3B in the offering, while AMD $AMD(AMD.US) is committing another $1B, giving two of Meta's major AI chip suppliers direct equity exposure to one of their largest customers. The expanded offering highlights Meta's increasingly aggressive capital-raising strategy as it prepares to spend $135B–$145B on capital expenditures in 2026. The participation of NVIDIA and AMD also underscores the growing financial interconnectedness of the AI ecosystem, with semiconductor suppliers investing directly in the hyperscalers purchasing their hardware.

5. Qualcomm $Qualcomm(QCOM.US) and Anduril are teaming up to launch BlueChip, a new venture focused on manufacturing rugged, waterproof, American-made laptops for the U.S. military, government agencies, law enforcement, and first responders, according to the Wall Street Journal. The devices will be assembled at Anduril's Arsenal-1 facility in Ohio and powered by Qualcomm Snapdragon X processors manufactured by TSMC in Arizona. Anduril founder Palmer Luckey said approximately 90% of the planned components already come from the U.S. and allied countries, with the long-term goal of producing the entire laptop domestically, including displays and other components currently sourced overseas. The initiative prioritizes secure computing, fully traceable supply chains, and reduced dependence on foreign manufacturing for national-security applications. The first laptops are expected in 2027, with pricing estimated at roughly 20% above conventional high-end PCs.

6. President Donald Trump made two major statements, reiterating his administration's decision to replace the terms “Artificial Intelligence” and “AI” with “Super Intelligence” and “SI” in official executive-branch communications, following a September executive order. Separately, Trump suggested that Venezuela could eventually become the 51st U.S. state, floating the possibility of replacing its presidency with a governorship during remarks in Corpus Christi, Texas. Trump also celebrated the U.S. military intervention in Venezuela and its subsequent oil agreement, describing the operation as a historic victory and highlighting expanded American access to Venezuelan oil reserves.

7. Tesla $Tesla(TSLA.US) rallied approximately 4% on Tuesday to $407.46, extending Monday's 5.2% gain as shares broke above key technical resistance levels. The rally was primarily fueled by Barclays upgrading Tesla to Overweight and raising its price target to $450 from $370, citing improving automotive demand, accelerating energy storage growth, and a potential merger with SpaceX $SpaceX(SPCX.US) that could create a premium for Tesla shareholders. Meanwhile, Tesla's robotaxi expansion continues to gain momentum, with its Texas fleet reportedly exceeding 1,050 vehicles, Cybercabs outnumbering Model Ys, and additional service areas planned, including Dallas. Investors are also responding to improving FSD adoption, strong demand for energy storage from AI data centers, and signs of stabilization in Tesla's core automotive business.

8. Brazil's stock market experienced an extraordinary selloff on October 26, with the iShares MSCI Brazil ETF $EWZ plunging 19.8% in a single session, representing an estimated 8.4-standard-deviation move based on its historical daily volatility. Over the past 20 years, EWZ has averaged a daily return of approximately 0.04%, with a standard deviation of 2.36%, making Monday's decline an extreme statistical outlier. Under a theoretical normal distribution, a move of this magnitude would have an exceptionally small probability, illustrating just how unusual the selloff was relative to historical volatility. However, actual financial markets exhibit fat-tailed return distributions, meaning extreme declines occur more frequently than conventional statistical models predict. The plunge highlights the severity of the selling pressure in Brazilian equities and the risks associated with sudden market shocks.

9. Alphabet's $Alphabet(GOOGL.US) Waymo is expanding its fully autonomous ride-hailing service by nearly 250 square miles across five existing U.S. markets over the next week, further accelerating its commercial robotaxi rollout. In Los Angeles, Waymo is extending service along the coast into the South Bay, including Torrance, while San Diego coverage will expand north to La Jolla, connecting riders to UC San Diego, the VA, and University Town Center. In Nashville, the company is expanding south to include Nashville Zoo, while Orlando will see its eastern service area nearly double alongside improved downtown coverage. The San Francisco Bay Area will also gain additional southern coverage, including a connection to Berryessa BART Station. The expansion increases Waymo's geographic reach and the number of destinations accessible to existing riders, rather than representing launches in five new cities, as Alphabet continues scaling its autonomous transportation network.

10. The top 10 most active options today by contracts traded were $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) with 2.4M contracts, $Tesla(TSLA.US) with 2.3M contracts, $Apple(AAPL.US) with 1.2M contracts, $SoFi Tech(SOFI.US) with 944K contracts, $SpaceX(SPCX.US) with 852K contracts, $Amazon(AMZN.US) with 833K contracts, $Micron Tech(MU.US) with 716K contracts, $Meta Platforms(META.US) with 709K contracts, $Alphabet(GOOGL.US) with 529K contracts, and $AMD(AMD.US) with 529K contracts.

11. Amazon $Amazon(AMZN.US) is reportedly working to reduce its reliance on Anthropic's AI models as the cost of operating Alexa+ continues to climb, according to Business Insider. Internal projections estimated that Alexa+ cloud computing expenses could reach approximately $1.7B in 2026, nearly triple the prior year's costs, prompting Amazon to explore routing more AI requests through its own lower-cost models and infrastructure. The company also considered delaying or scaling back Moonraker, its advanced AI agent initiative, which was projected to require more than $100M in GPU spending this year. The developments highlight the growing pressure on major technology companies to improve AI inference economics, reduce dependence on third-party model providers, and balance increasingly expensive AI capabilities with sustainable profitability.

12. U.S. stock market breadth is improving significantly, with the S&P 500 Equal-Weight Index outperforming the traditional market-cap-weighted S&P 500 by 4.0 percentage points in October, putting it on track for its second-strongest monthly relative performance since April 2009. The equal-weight index has gained 4.3% this month, compared with just 0.3% for the S&P 500, marking a sharp reversal from September, when equal-weight stocks underperformed by 4.7 percentage points, their worst relative month since March 2020. For comparison, the equal-weight index outperformed by 4.2 percentage points in April. Year-to-date, the Equal-Weight Index is up 13.4% versus 12.1% for the S&P 500, suggesting market leadership is broadening beyond the largest technology and AI companies as more sectors and individual stocks participate in the rally.

WALL STREET IS THE GREATEST SHOW ON EARTH.

Source: amit

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Gary Black Tracker

$Robinhood(HOOD.US) -5% AH as Earnings, Revs and Net Deposits missed ests; 3Q EBITDA beat.

3Q:

- EPS $.51 vs $.56 est

- Revs $1.42B vs $$1.44B est

- EBITDA $808M vs $771.5M est

- Net Deposits $15.7B cs $17.4B est

- Avg rev per user (ARPU) $200 vs $200.68 est

Guidance:

- Narrowed FY’26 Adj operating expenses $2.68-$2.75B vs $2.68- $2.78B prior.

- “We’re entering Q4 with strong momentum as Oct Net Deposits have already topped $13B month to date, including $6B from the Dell family’s contribution to Trump accounts.”

Conf call 5pm ET.

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Fattycat

$BTC/USD(BTCUSD.HAS)

🚨 Bitcoin: Calm Before the Next Big Move?

📉 Technical Overview

• Price right now: $80,238, pulling back from near $86,000

• 4-hour RSI: Around 38–39, getting close to oversold. Selling is heavy short-term, but a pause or bounce may be forming

• Daily RSI: Around 42–47. Bullish momentum has faded, so the recovery path remains fragile

🏛️ What’s Moving the Market

• Fed Meeting 27-28 October 26

Traders are positioning cautiously ahead of the decision. Rate moves and liquidity trends will decide which way we break next

• US Elections 3 Nov:

Policy and regulatory uncertainty are keeping investors careful. Big money is waiting on the sidelines for now

🎯 What to Watch

Expect bigger swings over the next two weeks as the market stays in wait-and-see mode.

Key support sits between $75,000 and $78,000. Once we get clearer direction from the Fed and election results, history suggests a post-event relief rally could follow.

Not financial and investment advice.do your own due diligence.

BITCOIN MARKET ANALYSIS: OCT/NOV 2026 MACRO-CATALYST OUTLOOK MARKET OVERVIEW BIT
B Bitcoin/U.S.Dollar USD 80,238-534(-0.66%) 88,000 BB 20 SMA close 2 86,000 84,0
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Fattycat

$BTC/USD(BTCUSD.HAS)

🏆 [Weekly] Bitcoin updates: BTC Gearing Up for Its Next Big Move?

Bitcoin hit a local peak near $87,300 and consolidates around $84,600 now. Short-term profit taking has slowed the rally but the bigger picture stays bullish.

📊 Technicals Snapshots

• Daily Chart: RSI cooled to ~65 , healthy, uptrend still intact

• 4-Hour Chart: Tight flag forming. Support $83,500–$84,000, resistance $85,000–$85,600

🔗 On-Chain & Fundamentals

• Supply Squeeze: $3 billion worth (31,800 BTC) left exchanges last week. Less available to sell means upward pressure

• Whales Buying: Large holders with 100–1,000 BTC keep accumulating

• Record ETF Inflows: U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs took in over $2.4 billion. It is the strongest week since Oct 2025.

Ethereum and Solana ETFs also saw big money, showing broad institutional trust.

⏰ KEY MARCO WATCH

Keep an eye on U.S. NFP and unemployment figures coming out. Strong jobs data could shift Fed rate expectations and impact crypto momentum.

💡 What’s Next?

Institutions are soaking up supply. A clear break above $85,600 could open the way to $90,000 and higher.

What is your BTC target this week? Let’s discuss.👇

Not financial and investment advice. Always Do your due diligence ☺️.

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NewUser_zS0M8w

$Strategy(MSTR.US)

Context: The recent gains was mainly driven by capital inflows returning to US spot Bitcoin ETFs and short covering, while Strategy's continued accumulation of BTC also boosted market sentiment for MSTR. Strategy disclosed on September 21 that between September 14 and September 20, the company spent $75.7 million to purchase 950 BTC at an average purchase price of approximately $79,670. As of September 20, the company's holdings increased to 846,000 BTC, with a cumulative investment of $63.8 billion and an overall average purchase cost of about $75,416. Based on a static calculation at a BTC price of $85,500, the market value of Strategy's holdings is approximately $72.33 billion, which is about $8.53 billion above its cumulative purchase cost.

My Trade: Finally positive after a long period of Bitcoin drawdown, with Strategy even selling some of its Bitcoin holdings. I am now targeting a $190 price target to take profit.

Takeaway: MSTR is not a simple reflection of BTC prices. The company raises capital through common stock, preferred stock, and debt instruments, and its stock price is also affected by financing costs, equity dilution, and changes in its premium relative to Bitcoin's net asset value. When BTC rises, MSTR typically exhibits higher price elasticity; when BTC falls or its NAV premium shrinks, the drawdown may also be larger. @Captain's Treasure

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TheCollector

Rejected clarity act couldn't stop bitcoin from hitting 85k. optimism over US-Iran negotiations pushes oil price down. across the board, it's generally a positive way to start the week.

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Meta's Muse Win Powers AMD to $1 Trillion

Meta's Muse agent topped the US App Store last week, and Wall Street is reading that as one more sign AI agents may need real CPU power. Intel, AMD and Arm all rocketed Monday. Here's what moved marke...

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NewUser_ThinkSwim

Both $Circle(CRCL.US) $Coinbase(COIN.US) $Robinhood(HOOD.US) will rise if bitcoin continues it upwards trend after the bullish golden cross. If not macro will bring it down to a lower level than what we have for months. Be cautious and DCA into the stock slowly if you like the stock and want exposure to AI or majority cryptocurrency related.

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — SEC's Tokenization Rule Ignites Crypto Stock Rally

Crypto stocks kept ripping on last Thursday's SEC ruling, which lets tokenized US stocks trade 24/7. $Strategy(MSTR.US), $Coinbase(COIN.US) and $Circle(CRCL.US) all rocketed Friday. Meanwhile the Bank...

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EdmundK

MSTR, COIN, CRCL all ripping together is not a meme, it’s infrastructure monetization. Tokenized stocks 24/7 means Coinbase and Circle collect fees on every trade, forever. Even with BOJ hiking to a 31-year high, liquidity is rotating into crypto rails, not out.

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — SEC's Tokenization Rule Ignites Crypto Stock Rally

Crypto stocks kept ripping on last Thursday's SEC ruling, which lets tokenized US stocks trade 24/7. $Strategy(MSTR.US), $Coinbase(COIN.US) and $Circle(CRCL.US) all rocketed Friday. Meanwhile the Bank...

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FaithAnchor

$Coinbase(COIN.US)

24/7 tokenised stocks sound exciting. For option writers, though, the warning is simple: no market close, no breathing room—risk can hit while you sleep.

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — SEC's Tokenization Rule Ignites Crypto Stock Rally

Crypto stocks kept ripping on last Thursday's SEC ruling, which lets tokenized US stocks trade 24/7. $Strategy(MSTR.US), $Coinbase(COIN.US) and $Circle(CRCL.US) all rocketed Friday. Meanwhile the Bank...

C
CP

SEC letting tokenized US stocks trade 24/7 from last Thursday is massive. MSTR, COIN, CRCL rocketing Friday proves it. This is the institutional green light crypto waited for. BOJ hiking to 31-year high doesn’t matter when US opens the floodgates for on-chain equities.

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — SEC's Tokenization Rule Ignites Crypto Stock Rally

Crypto stocks kept ripping on last Thursday's SEC ruling, which lets tokenized US stocks trade 24/7. $Strategy(MSTR.US), $Coinbase(COIN.US) and $Circle(CRCL.US) all rocketed Friday. Meanwhile the Bank...

F
Fattycat

$BTC/USD(BTCUSD.HAS)

🏆[Weekly] Bitcoin Review: Strong Rebound Underway?

Bitcoin has bounced back impressively, climbing back above $80,000 after its recent pullback.

🔷Technical Snapshots

• Daily Chart: Testing resistance near $81,944. RSI at 60.82, good momentum not overbought.

• 1-Hour Chart: Consolidating around $80,382 just below the 20-period average. Neutral RSI at 47.92, a healthy pause before the next move.

• Key Levels: A clear break above $81,000 opens the way to $83,000–$84,000. Support sits firmly at the 20-day moving average of $78,410.

🔷 Fundamental Snapshots

• Regulatory & Derivatives: SEC progress lifted demand. Open interest hit $27.3 billion, showing strong institutional involvement, though high leverage means bigger price swings.

• Institutional Flows: Spot ETFs keep drawing steady money, underpinning the market.

• Macro Watch: Tight central bank policies and elevated real yields remain headwinds to watch.

Bitcoin’s broader uptrend stays intact. Are you buying the dips or taking profit near $82,000? Share your thoughts below! 👇

Not financial advice. Please do your own DD and research 😉.

BITCOINI MARKET UPDATE TECHNICAL ANALYSIS(1D) FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT Bitcoin (SMA,
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koolgal

🌟🌟🌟Crypto investors had a setback today as the Clarity Act failed to pass through the US Senate. Immediately a cold shiver ran through digital asset stocks with $Circle(CRCL.US)plunging over 11% overnight.

What should investors do?

Step Away from Crypto Stocks: Do not rush in to buy the dip on companies tied to regulatory approval. When Circle dropped 11% because the legal future just got clouded, cheap can get a whole lot cheaper before it finds a true bottom.

Park in the Safe Haven VIP Lounge: Parking your money in ultra short term vehicles like $iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF(SGOV.US)or $Vanguard 0-3 Month Treasury Bill ETF(VBIL.US)lets you earn a safe, risk free yield while the political storm rages outside.

My Take

The failure of the Clarity Act isn't a sign that crypto is dying. It is just a sign that Washington is not quite ready for the Clarity Act. Circle is still an incredibly cash rich business but it has been locked back in a regulatory penalty box.

Let the politicians do the wrangling, our job is to simply make sure our wallet survives the performance.

FSM L S 35 challenge in life The biggest is not in what happens to you, but in hLong image
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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Fed Hikes 25bp Unanimously, Signals More Ahead

The Fed delivered its first rate hike in three years: 25bp to 3.75%-4.00%, unanimous 12-0, with the dot plot pointing to at least one more hike this year. Trump said rates should be at 1% or lower. Le...

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FaithAnchor

$Circle(CRCL.US)

Circle’s massive drop hurts. But the CLARITY Act is a reminder that regulation can change the story overnight. That’s the risk investors have to accept.

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Fed Hikes 25bp Unanimously, Signals More Ahead

The Fed delivered its first rate hike in three years: 25bp to 3.75%-4.00%, unanimous 12-0, with the dot plot pointing to at least one more hike this year. Trump said rates should be at 1% or lower. Le...

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LazyCat

This week feels like a game of high stakes poker , starting with the first weekend AI ghost story card, followed by no-go for clarity act card and now the market betting (pricing in) a near certainty of rate hike. Rate wise, a confirmation is not the key, but rather hints of what's ahead is needed to reduce market uncertainty.

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Fed Decision Looms as 20-Year Yield Hits Record

At 2am tomorrow, markets get the moment they've been building toward all week: the Fed's rate decision. Ahead of it, a 20-year Treasury auction just set a record yield of 5.42%, breaking the 2023 high...

M
MJ26

Clarity failed, stop lost to break even and still holding. Rate hike tomorrow morning. 4hr bullish div, gonna take the risk! WILL ADD IF CONFIRMATION.DYOR NFA $BTC/USD(BTCUSD.HAS)

MMJ26

Increase my SL and added more.

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Fattycat

I am very disappointed with the Crypto Clarity Act outcome. I expect good news and…..the outcome is so disappointing. I do not understand why the senators blocked disagrees with the act.

Failed the 60-vote threshold 49–50 early this morning. It is ready a “Big setback” for US crypto rules.🥹🥹 no chance for BTC to reclaim 100k again by year end.😞

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Fed Decision Looms as 20-Year Yield Hits Record

At 2am tomorrow, markets get the moment they've been building toward all week: the Fed's rate decision. Ahead of it, a 20-year Treasury auction just set a record yield of 5.42%, breaking the 2023 high...

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CLuo

$Circle(CRCL.US)

Context: I originally added Circle to improve diversification in my portfolio. Rather than having too much exposure to assets driven by similar factors, I wanted to include a position with a different risk and return profile.

My Trade: I did not add to or reduce my position this time. I’m continuing to hold Circle at an average cost of $90.909. The position is currently around +2%, with the share price at approximately $92.940. For now, I’m monitoring whether the position continues to serve its intended role in my portfolio.

Takeaway: Diversification is not just about owning more stocks. What matters is whether each position adds genuinely different risk and return drivers to the overall portfolio.

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Fattycat

$BTC/USD(BTCUSD.HAS)

🏆[ Weekly] Bitcoin Update: Testing $80K Amid Shifting Macro Winds

📈 Technical Snapshot

Bitcoin is testing the key $80,000 psychological resistance, sitting right at the upper limit of the 20-period Bollinger Band on both 4-hour and daily charts.

The daily RSI hit 72, firmly overbought and a clear sign short-term consolidation or a pullback may be coming.

The 4-hour RSI has cooled a little to the mid-50s, offering some breathing room.

🏛️ Fundamental Snapshot

1️⃣ Macro Winds:

Strong US jobs data mixed with dovish remarks from Fed Governor Waller. A September rate hike now looks less likely if inflation cools. The hike odds fell to ~50%, weakening the USD and lifting risk appetite.

2️⃣ Regulatory Progress:

The SEC proposed new rules to ease enforcement uncertainty and the Senate will vote on the CLARITY Act in September.

Clearer rules could unlock huge institutional capital.☺️

3️⃣ Institutional Strength:

US spot ETF inflows stay strong. Steady institutional buying acts as a solid floor, supporting prices.

✅ The Verdict

Technicals looks caution — overbought conditions mean pullbacks are healthy and normal. But the big picture is still bullish:

Fed policy is turning, regulation is improving and institutions keep buying. A clear break above $80K could spark the next surge but don’t chase; wait for dips to build better support.

Not financial advice. Always do your own DD☺️.

RSI PRICE RSI wdtw 55.38 80,000.61 79,988.98 L3WAUHJSNIU 3inou 串 MARKET CAP S1,2Long image
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Fattycat
Featured

$BTC/USD(BTCUSD.HAS)$Gold.com(GOLD.US)

🚨 Yen, Gold & Bitcoin - The Macro Connection You Need to See! 🚨

Ever noticed how gold and Bitcoin are moving in lockstep with currency swings?

The 4-hour charts show a clear pattern: when the Yen strengthens and USD/JPY falls, both gold and Bitcoin rally together. 🚀

Why is this happening?

• 💵 Dollar weakness & capital flows:

When the USD pulls back against the Yen, money rushes toward non-sovereign stores of value like gold and Bitcoin.

• 🛡️ Haven + Liquidity Gauge moving together:

Gold is the classic safe haven.

Bitcoin acts as a sensitive global liquidity indicator.

When the Greenback weakens, both get a strong bid at the same time and these pushes gold toward $4,478 and BTC past $81,300! 🚀

📊 BIG CATALYST TODAY: US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)

Expect high volatility across the board!

• 📉 Soft NFP → Weaker jobs → Fed may cut rates → USD/JPY drops further → Gold & BTC surge higher

• 📈 Hot NFP → Strong jobs → USD rebounds → rallies in gold & BTC may stall or reverse

How are you positioned heading into NFP? Riding the Yen trend or playing the breakout in gold and BTC? 👇

Not financial advice. Personal view. Do your own DD.

MACRO DYNAMIC: USD/JPY, GOLD, & BITCOIN CORRELATION ANALYSIS OBSERVED MARKET TRE
Bitcoin/U.S.Dollar USD 81,300+32(+0.04%) BB 20 SMA close 2 81,563 81,300 03:16:1
U.S.Dollar/Japanese Yen JPY 155.923 +0.124(+0.08%) 165.000 BB 20 SMA close 2 164
Gold Spot/U.S. Dollar USD 4,478.635 +5.640(+0.13%) BB 20 SMA close 2 4,650.000 4
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Sunrise Trader

$Strategy(MSTR.US) back over 200ma daily. Next up on my radar is the small gap in 144 area. With a bit more cushion I will start to place shares of this name into let it ride. See if price above 200ma holds into the close.

Source: Sunrise Trader

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Gary Black Tracker

U.S. stocks were slightly lower as oil and 10yr treasury yields ticked higher. Gold, silver and bitcoin rose, and chip names were mixed. $Broadcom(AVGO.US) slipped after slight miss in revenue guidance. U.S.-Iran strikes continued with no resolution in sight. Traders priced a 62% chance of a Sept. Fed hike, although I don’t see it given slowing job growth and temporary nature of oil supply shock. S&P 500 2026 EPS estimates have continued to climb on AI and energy sector gains. S&P 500 forward earnings yield remains below 10-year treasury yield (no equity risk premium; normal +50-100 bp premium). Tesla’s Austin Cybercab event is today; I remain cautious on $Tesla(TSLA.US) shares amid negative TSLA long term earnings revisions, unsupervised autonomy being commoditized, and an extended valuation.

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rocket Shadow

MSCI's underlying concern isn't crazy even if Strategy's framing makes it sound like a witch hunt. A company whose balance sheet is mostly a leveraged bet on a single asset genuinely does behave differently from an operating business, and index funds tracking MSCI aren't set up to hold that kind of concentration risk on behalf of passive investors. Whether that justifies exclusion is a separate question from whether the concern itself is legitimate.